Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 18

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: XL-BYGG Sorvest Arena (Egersund)

Referee: Al Hatem A. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Egersund		Stabæk

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.90	2.35
	2.55	3.80	2.25
	2.95	3.70	2.08
	2.88	4.00	2.33
	2.71	3.98	2.25	Watch
	2.90	3.65	2.25
	2.56	3.92	2.36	Watch
	2.60	3.75	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (2.87)	3.84 ↑ (3.84)	2.26 ↑ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Egersund
34.4%

Draw
24.3%

Stabæk
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

24.1%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

24.4%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Egersund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Stabæk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Egersund than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stabæk than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Egersund - Stabæk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zapytowski M. (G) 25. Gregersen J. 31. Jonsson I. 3. Maeland B. 2. Kleppa H. 22. Tadesse H. 27. Vatne S. 8. Sleveland C. (C) 17. Westerlund S. 16. Ekeland J. 7. Tornvig N.	22. Ulla M. (G) 2. Riise F. 15. Veum O. 4. Naess N. (C) 29. Ekorness K. 6. Matic A. 7. Solnordal O. 23. Wendt W. 24. Hanstad J. 8. Dahlby M. 33. Aamodt A.
Substitutes
21. Eggen K. 12. Eriksen M. (G) 28. Hardarson H. 29. Hetland A. B. 18. Hovland P. 14. Lynum J. 10. Michalsen S. R. 6. Saetherbo K. 4. Suljic A.	28. dos Santos Jonker D. 16. Hoven A. 14. Lereng E. 31. Lie A. 1. Lokkevik K. (G) 20. Rapp G. 9. Sanyang A.
Coaches
Johansen M.	Kjell A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Dahlby M. ⚽,
42', Solnordal O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
53', Maeland B. 🟨,
59', Vatne S. 🟨,
61', Aamodt A. ↓, Rapp G. ↑,
70', Maeland B. 🟥,
71', Tadesse H. ↓, Lynum J. ↑,
78', 0 - 2, Wendt W. ⚽, Dahlby M. (A),
81', Dahlby M. ↓, dos Santos Jonker D. ↑,
81', Solnordal O. ↓, Sanyang A. ↑,
81', Ekeland J. ↓, Hardarson H. ↑,
81', Tornvig N. ↓, Michalsen S. R. ↑,
81', Gregersen J. ↓, Suljic A. ↑,
82', Veum O. ↓, Lereng E. ↑,
82', Riise F. ↓, Hoven A. ↑,
83', Matic A. 🟨,
84', 🟨,
86', 0 - 3, Rapp G. ⚽, Hanstad J. (A),
89', Vatne S. ↓, Saetherbo K. ↑,
90+4', 0 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eliteserien).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Egersund won 2.

Egersund is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Stabæk is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Egersund may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Stabæk is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Egersund won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:11. (average 2.2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Egersund won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Outrights of Norwegian Adeccoligaen for now

Stabaek: 0.59%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Stabaek	24	14	3	7	57:31	26	45
9	Egersund	24	8	5	11	36:49	-13	29

Last Results with these Odds

Egersund - the odds 2.87 are the expected chance of winning is 32.14%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Stabæk - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 43.78%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Egersunds IK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
09.08.26	Strømsgodset - Egersund	0:2 ✺
02.08.26	Egersund - Sandnes Ulf	2:0 ✺
26.07.26	Åsane - Egersund	3:3 ✺
04.07.26	Egersund - Moss	3:0 ✺
27.06.26	Sogndal - Egersund	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WWTWL
- Stabæk Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
08.08.26	Stabæk - Lyn	4:3 ✺
02.08.26	Raufoss - Stabæk	0:2 ✺
27.07.26	Stabæk - Hødd	6:0 ✺
03.07.26	Ranheim - Stabæk	2:5 ✺
27.06.26	Stabæk - Bryne	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
14.06.26	Stabæk - Egersund	3:1
Club Friendly
13.03.26	Stabæk - Egersund	1:1
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
13.09.25	Egersund - Stabæk	1:1
18.06.25	Stabæk - Egersund	1:3
25.09.24	Egersund - Stabæk	2:1
27.05.24	Stabæk - Egersund	4:5

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