Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 17

Date: 10 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Gjemselund Stadion (Kongsvinger)

Referee: Tennoy M. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Kongsvinger		Stabæk

	1	X	2
	1.6	4.5	4.5
	1.71	4	3.8
	1.65	4.45	4.15	Watch
	1.62	4.55	4.73
	1.64	4.27	4.40	Watch
	1.7	3.9	3.9
	1.73	4.25	4.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.75)	4.27 ↑ (4.15)	4.22 ↑ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kongsvinger
56.1%

Draw
21.8%

Stabæk
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

22.6%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

19%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kongsvinger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Stabæk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kongsvinger than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kongsvinger that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stabæk than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stabæk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Kongsvinger - Stabæk Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kongsvinger (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Kongsvinger (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Kongsvinger will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Kongsvinger (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Gorodovoy A. (G) 2. Nilsson J. 21. Lysgard D. 29. Norheim S. 19. Nielsen E. 27. Dybevik A. 14. Christensen F. 8. Grundt J. 9. Haren L. 22. Langrekken L. 11. Williams N.	24. Sjoeng M. (G) 13. Hellan M. 15. Veum O. 4. Naess N. 20. Andresen A. 6. Matic A. 27. Danso E. 21. Onsrud K. 10. Geelmuyden H. 9. Diabate B. 8. Lankhof-Dahlby M.
Substitutes
28. Christiansen R. 71. Ekerhaugen S. (G) 3. Fjellman P. 13. Flores M. 17. Gjerstrom M. 6. Holter H. 12. Mbow M. 20. Sandstad A. 23. Vinjor M.	25. Afrim D. 18. Bawa A. 29. Ekorness K. 41. Lokkevik K. (G) 14. Nielsen M. 26. Nysveen J. 17. Olderheim S. 2. Pedersen K. 23. Wendt W.
Coaches
Vennberg J.	Riise B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Williams N. ⚽, Christensen F. (A),
32', Hellan M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Matic A. ↓, Wendt W. ↑,
50', 2 - 0, Williams N. ⚽, Langrekken L. (A),
60', Geelmuyden H. ↓, Afrim D. ↑,
65', Haren L. 🟨,
66', 2 - 1, Lankhof-Dahlby M. ⚽, Andresen A. (A),
68', Grundt J. ↓, Gjerstrom M. ↑,
70', Onsrud K. ↓, Bawa A. ↑,
73', Christensen F. 🟨,
75', Williams N. ↓, Vinjor M. ↑,
88', Hellan M. ↓, Nysveen J. ↑,
90+1', Christensen F. ↓, Holter H. ↑,
90+1', Langrekken L. ↓, Sandstad A. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 14 in the zone OBOS~ligaen (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kongsvinger won 1.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

In this match, Kongsvinger is the team to beat.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Kongsvinger won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 13:33. (average 0.9:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Kongsvinger won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.1:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kongsvinger IL Toppfotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
06.08.25	Raufoss - Kongsvinger	2:2 ✺
02.08.25	Aalesunds - Kongsvinger	3:1 ✺
30.07.25	Kongsvinger - Start	0:3 ✺
26.07.25	Mjøndalen - Kongsvinger	1:1 ✺
28.06.25	Kongsvinger - Raufoss	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLTT
- Stabæk Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
06.08.25	Stabæk - Aalesunds	1:2 ✺
02.08.25	Stabæk - Moss	3:3 ✺
30.07.25	Odd - Stabæk	2:0 ✺
26.07.25	Sogndal - Stabæk	1:1 ✺
28.06.25	Stabæk - Ranheim	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
31.05.25	Stabæk - Kongsvinger	2:2
Club Friendly
23.03.25	Kongsvinger - Stabæk	1:0
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
21.10.24	Kongsvinger - Stabæk	1:3
04.05.24	Stabæk - Kongsvinger	5:0
Club Friendly
25.03.23	Kongsvinger - Stabæk	1:1
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
27.08.22	Kongsvinger - Stabæk	0:1
30.05.22	Stabæk - Kongsvinger	1:0

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