Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 14

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday

Location: XL-BYGG Sorvest Arena (Egersund)

Referee: Wisted-Thu E. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Egersund		Moss

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.70	3.10
	2.05	3.70	3.00
	1.93	3.80	3.25
	2.09	3.95	3.29
	2.11	3.59	3.15	Watch
	2.06	3.85	3.15
	2.03	3.72	3.21	Watch
	2.04	3.65	3.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.84)	3.75 ↓ (3.9)	3.14 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Egersund
45.7%

Draw
24.8%

Moss
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

23.6%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

22.9%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Egersund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Moss has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Egersund than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Egersund, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moss than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Egersund - Moss Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Egersund will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lonning S. A. A. (G) 21. Eggen K. 31. Jonsson I. 25. Gregersen J. 3. Maeland B. 27. Vatne S. 8. Sleveland C. (C) 6. Saetherbo K. 16. Ekeland J. 9. Kapskarmo O. 18. Hovland P.	1. Eriksen M. (G) 2. Cassidy M. 3. Strande K. (C) 16. Kvale W. 26. Chidi E. 8. Vold Krohg H. 14. Musbaudeen J. 21. Gronli S. 20. Semmen N. 9. Aga O. 23. Hermanstad R.
Substitutes
12. Bergene S. (G) 91. Davis S. 29. Haheim-Elveseter M. 2. Kleppa H. 14. Lynum J. 10. Michalsen S. R. 22. Tadesse H. 23. Toft Noreng O. 7. Tornvig N.	17. Andersen P. 4. Harrison K. 11. Jakobsen T. 7. Laegreid J. 22. Ogbole J. 24. Olofsson W. 40. Rylander J. (G)
Coaches
Johansen M.	Nesselquist O. M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Kapskarmo O. ⚽, Hovland P. (A),
33', 2 - 0, Kapskarmo O. ⚽, Vatne S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Strande K. 🟨,
57', Hermanstad R. ↓, Laegreid J. ↑,
59', Kapskarmo O. 🟨,
68', Saetherbo K. ↓, Davis S. ↑,
68', Ekeland J. ↓, Lynum J. ↑,
69', Musbaudeen J. ↓, Andersen P. ↑,
70', 3 - 0, Vatne S. ⚽, Lynum J. (A),
73', Chidi E. ↓, Olofsson W. ↑,
78', Vatne S. ↓, Haheim-Elveseter M. ↑,
85', Kapskarmo O. ↓, Toft Noreng O. ↑,
85', Eggen K. ↓, Kleppa H. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Egersund won 4.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Egersund could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Egersund won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.9:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Egersund won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.8:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Egersund	24	8	5	11	36:49	-13	29
13	Moss	24	7	4	13	38:54	-16	25

Last Results with these Odds

Egersund - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.06%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Moss - the odds 3.5 are the expected chance of winning is 26.32%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Egersunds IK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
27.06.26	Sogndal - Egersund	4:2 ✺
21.06.26	Egersund - Haugesund	5:2 ✺
14.06.26	Stabæk - Egersund	3:1 ✺
31.05.26	Egersund - Strømsgodset	0:5 ✺
25.05.26	Hødd - Egersund	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLLL
- Moss FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
27.06.26	Strømmen - Moss	3:2 ✺
21.06.26	Moss - Sandnes Ulf	1:4 ✺
14.06.26	Sogndal - Moss	2:4 ✺
30.05.26	Moss - Stabæk	2:2 ✺
25.05.26	Haugesund - Moss	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
22.10.25	Egersund - Moss	2:0
28.06.25	Moss - Egersund	2:4
26.08.24	Egersund - Moss	3:2
27.04.24	Moss - Egersund	1:2
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
08.10.22	Egersund - Moss	2:2
26.06.22	Moss - Egersund	2:0
11.08.19	Moss - Egersund	6:2

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