Match Info

Africa Cup of Nations - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Adrar (Agadir)

Where to Watch on TV:


Afghanistan	Tolo TV
Africa	AfroSport TV Africa, Azam Sports 1, CANAL+ CAN, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport 4, New World Sport 5, New World Sport 6, New World Sport 7, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport Maximo 360
Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 4
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	BandSports, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1, Max Sport 4
Cameroon	Canal 2 International
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Win play, Win Sports
Cote-d-ivoire	NCI, RTI 3
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
Dr-congo	RTNC
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Magenta Sport, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	ERT 2, ERT Sports 2
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	Sportitalia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Sport+
Kenya	Gotv
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Mauritius	MBC 11
Mexico	Claro Sports, FOX One, Fox Sports, Marca Claro
Morocco	Arryadia TNT, SNRT Live
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 5, Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport Football Plus
Norway	VG+
Portugal	Sport TV7
Russia	Okko Sport
Singapore	beIN Sports 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
South-africa	SABC 2, SABC Plus, SuperSport PSL
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 2
Suriname	SCCN
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Turkey	Exxen
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Channel 4, E4
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter


	Egypt		Ivory Coast

	1	X	2
	3.75	2.8	2.3	Watch
	3.8	2.82	2.32	Watch
	3.91	2.79	2.31	Watch
	3.5	2.7	2.3
	3.82	2.9	2.42	Watch
	4	2.75	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.8 ↑ (3.03)	2.79 ↓ (3.04)	2.32 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Egypt
25%

Draw
34%

Ivory Coast
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

31.3%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

30.8%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Egypt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Egypt's form might have worsened.

Ivory Coast has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Egypt than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Egypt, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ivory Coast than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.7%	53.3%	20%

Egypt - Ivory Coast Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Egypt will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Ivory Coast will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 53.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Ivory Coast (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH +1 - Egypt (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Egypt (votes: 1 - 20%). Ivory Coast (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. El Shenawy M. (G) Al Ahly 3. Hany M. Al Ahly 6. Ibrahim Y. Al Ahly 5. Rabia R. Al Ain 13. Fatouh A. Zamalek 19. Attia M. Al Ahly 4. Abdelmaguid H. Zamalek 14. Fathy H. Al Wakra 8. Ashour E. Al Ahly 10. Salah M. (C) Liverpool 22. Marmoush O. Manchester City	1. Fofana Y. (G) Rizespor 17. Doue G. Strasbourg 7. Kossounou O. Atalanta 21. Ndicka E. AS Roma 3. Konan G. Gil Vicente 19. Inao Oulai C. Trabzonspor 18. Sangare I. Nottingham 8. Kessie F. (C) Al Ahli SC 15. Diallo A. Manchester United 22. Guessand E. Aston Villa 26. Diomande Y. RB Leipzig
Substitutes
20. Adel I. Al Jazira 24. Eid A. Al Masry 1. El Shenawy A. (G) Pyramids 21. Faisal O. National Bank Egypt 18. Fathi M. Pyramids 28. Ismail M. Zamalek 17. Lasheen M. Pyramids 9. Mohsen S. Al Masry 11. Mostafa Mohamed Nantes 27. Saber M. ZED FC 15. Shehata M. Zamalek 26. Shobeir O. (G) Al Ahly 2. Sobhi K. Al Masry 7. Trezeguet Al Ahly 25. Zizo Al Ahly	20. Agbadou E. Wolves 9. Bayo V. Udinese 12. Boly W. Nottingham 14. Diakite O. Cercle Brugge 2. Diomande O. Sporting CP 6. Fofana S. Rennes 25. Gbamin J. Metz 16. Kone M. (G) Charleroi 11. Krasso J. Paris FC 23. Lafont A. (G) Panathinaikos 13. Operi C. Basaksehir 4. Seri J. Maribor 24. Toure B. Hoffenheim 10. Zaha W. Charlotte FC 5. Zohouri A. Iberia 1999
Coaches
Hassan H.	Fae E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Marmoush O. ⚽, Ashour E. (A),
32', 2 - 0, Rabia R. ⚽, Salah M. (A),
40', 2 - 1, Fatouh A. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 3 - 1, Salah M. ⚽, Ashour E. (A),
69', Abdelmaguid H. 🟨,
70', Kessie F. ↓, Krasso J. ↑,
73', 3 - 2, Doue G. ⚽,
78', Ashour E. ↓, Trezeguet ↑,
80', Guessand E. ↓, Bayo V. ↑,
89', Diomande Y. ↓, Toure B. ↑,
89', Inao Oulai C. ↓, Fofana S. ↑,
90+2', Marmoush O. ↓, Mostafa Mohamed ↑,
90+4', El Shenawy M. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams have recently enjoyed a winning streak.

Egypt may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ivory Coast will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Ivory Coast: Bayo V. (Knee Injury) Haller S. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Egypt: Hamdi M. (Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Egypt won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Egypt
Africa Cup of Nations
05.01.26	Egypt - Benin	3:1 ET ✺
29.12.25	Angola - Egypt	0:0 ✺
26.12.25	Egypt - South Africa	1:0 ✺
22.12.25	Egypt - Zimbabwe	2:1 ✺
Friendly
16.12.25	Egypt - Nigeria	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTWWW
- Ivory Coast
Africa Cup of Nations
06.01.26	Ivory Coast - Burkina Faso	3:0 ✺
31.12.25	Gabon - Ivory Coast	2:3 ✺
28.12.25	Ivory Coast - Cameroon	1:1 ✺
24.12.25	Ivory Coast - Mozambique	1:0 ✺
Friendly
18.11.25	Oman - Ivory Coast	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations
26.01.22	Ivory Coast - Egypt	0:1 penalties
Friendly
14.01.13	Ivory Coast - Egypt	4:2

Egypt - Ivory Coast: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide