Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 33

Date: 28 April 2024, Sunday


	Egüés		Tudelano

	1	X	2
	5.75	4.1	1.43
	6	4.2	1.47
	6.38	4.05	1.48
	6.38	4.06	1.48
	6.36	4.14	1.47
	6	4	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.15 ↑ (3.67)	4.09 ↑ (3.32)	1.47 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Egüés
14.9%

Draw
22.4%

Tudelano
62.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

27.9%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

26.9%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Egüés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Egüés's form might have worsened.

Tudelano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tudelano's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Egüés than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Egüés, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tudelano than the current prediction. (-13.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tudelano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Egüés - Tudelano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Simeone G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', 0 - 2, Simeone G. ⚽,
85', 🟥,
90+3', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Egüés is Relegated to

Egüés has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Tudelano is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tudelano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Tudelano is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Tudelano to win the game is with odds 1.46.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Egüés won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Egüés
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
21.04.24	Calahorra - Egüés	3:0 ✺
13.04.24	Egüés - Barakaldo	1:3 ✺
06.04.24	Arenas Club de Getxo - Egüés	3:1 ✺
30.03.24	Egüés - San Juan	0:3 ✺
24.03.24	Mutilvera - Egüés	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- CD Tudelano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
21.04.24	Tudelano - Izarra	4:0 ✺
14.04.24	Barbastro - Tudelano	0:0 ✺
05.04.24	Tudelano - Athletic Bilbao B	1:2 ✺
31.03.24	UD Logroñés - Tudelano	3:1 ✺
24.03.24	Tudelano - Brea	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
17.12.23	Tudelano - Egüés	1:4

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