Match Info

J2/J3 League - Round 6

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Ningineer Stadium (Matsuyama)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Ehime		Osaka

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.28	3.15	2.82	Watch
	2.32	3.35	2.92
	2.3	3.5	2.87	Watch
	2.2	3.2	2.8
	2.29	3.15	2.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 (2.28)	3.27 ↓ (3.39)	2.86 ↓ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ehime
40.1%

Draw
27.9%

Osaka
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

27.4%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

27.1%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ehime has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

The chances for Osaka have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ehime than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osaka than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	75%	25%

Ehime - Osaka Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Osaka will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Tsuji S. (G) 49. Abe R. 50. Sugiyama K. 26. Kanazawa K. 44. Moriyama K. 70. Maeda R. 22. Takemoto Y. 99. Kabayama R. 38. Hino S. 48. Yukutomo T. 88. Yamaguchi T.	1. Sugawara H. (G) 11. Tsutsumi S. 40. Kawakami R. 4. Yamashita R. 13. Mima K. 10. Kubo R. 14. Sumida S. 37. Iesaka Y. 28. Toya T. 7. Kitsui T. 9. Shimada T.
Substitutes
11. Fujihara Y. 16. Hosoya K. 14. Saito R. 57. Semba S. 31. Shirasaka F. (G) 17. Taguchi Y. 6. Tanioka M. 3. Yamahara K. 13. Yamashita Y.	26. Dohi K. 15. Fukui K. 19. Masuda S. 5. Minakuchi Y. 41. Nose R. 31. Sekinuma N. (G) 29. Sugawara R. 6. Tachino S. 27. Wada H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Yukutomo T. ↓, Saito R. ↑,
60', Hino S. 🟨,
62', Kitsui T. ↓, Sugawara R. ↑,
62', Toya T. ↓, Nose R. ↑,
63', Sugawara R. 🟨,
66', Yamaguchi T. ↓, Taguchi Y. ↑,
75', Iesaka Y. ↓, Dohi K. ↑,
75', Mima K. ↓, Tachino S. ↑,
78', Kabayama R. ↓, Fujihara Y. ↑,
80', 0 - 1, Yamashita R. ⚽, Sumida S. (A),
88', Shimada T. ↓, Wada H. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).

Ehime has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Osaka has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ehime may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ehime won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Ehime won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ehime FC
Japan J2 J3 League
08.03.26	Kataller Toyama - Ehime	3:2 penalties ✺
28.02.26	Ehime - Tokushima Vortis	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Nara Club - Ehime	2:3 penalties ✺
15.02.26	Ehime - Zweigen Kanazawa	2:3 penalties ✺
07.02.26	Ehime - Albirex Niigata	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWLL
- FC Osaka
Japan J2 J3 League
06.03.26	Osaka - Nara Club	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Kataller Toyama - Osaka	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Imabari - Osaka	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Osaka - Kochi United	3:2 penalties ✺
08.02.26	Osaka - Kamatamare Sanuki	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
02.12.23	Osaka - Ehime	1:2
26.03.23	Ehime - Osaka	2:1
Japan Emperors Cup
05.09.15	Osaka - Ehime	2:3 ET

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