Match Info

JAPAN: J2 League - Round 34

Date: 6 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Kanseki Stadium Tochigi (Utsunomiya)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Tochigi		Ehime

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.5	3.8	Watch
	1.88	3.3	3.5
	1.95	3.5	3.6	Watch
	2.02	3.64	3.81
	1.98	3.52	3.61	Watch
	1.91	3.4	3.4
	1.94	3.46	3.61	Watch
	1.95	3.5	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.94)	3.48 ↓ (3.63)	3.62 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tochigi
47.7%

Draw
26.7%

Ehime
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

26.1%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

21.5%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tochigi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Ehime has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tochigi than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tochigi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ehime than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Tochigi - Ehime Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tochigi will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Tanno K. (G) 23. Fukushima H. 2. Hiramatsu W. 33. Rafael Costa 10. Mori T. 22. Aoshima T. 4. Sato S. 6. Omori S. 42. Minamino H. 19. Oshima K. 32. Miyazaki K.	36. Tsuji S. (G) 16. Mihara S. 37. Morishita R. 33. Ogawa S. 2. Konno I. 6. Tanioka M. 8. Fukazawa Y. 21. Bak Keon-Woo 25. Ishiura T. 17. Motegi S. 10. Matsuda R.
Substitutes
16. Hyon R. 7. Ishida R. 1. Kawata S. (G) 38. Kobori S. 15. Okuda K. 40. Takashima S. 29. Yano K.	9. Duncan B. 22. Ishiwatari N. 13. Kubota R. 19. Ozaki Y. 7. Soneda Y. 1. Tokushige K. (G) 38. Ura J.
Coaches
Kobayashi S.	Ishimaru K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 1 - 0, Oshima K. ⚽, Fukushima H. (A),
59', Ishiura T. ↓, Soneda Y. ↑,
59', Motegi S. ↓, Kubota R. ↑,
72', Bak Keon-Woo ↓, Duncan B. ↑,
72', Tanioka M. ↓, Ishiwatari N. ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Ishiwatari N. ⚽, Soneda Y. (A),
77', Mori T. ↓, Ishida R. ↑,
77', Oshima K. ↓, Okuda K. ↑,
80', Omori S. ↓, Takashima S. ↑,
80', Matsuda R. ↓, Ozaki Y. ↑,
86', Mihara S. 🟨,
86', Miyazaki K. ↓, Yano K. ↑,
86', Minamino H. ↓, Kobori S. ↑,
90+3', Ishida R. 🟨,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tochigi won 3.

Recent matches Tochigi is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ehime has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ehime could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Tochigi will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Tochigi won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13:15 (average 0.9:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Tochigi won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:11 (average 1:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tochigi SC
Japan J2 League
29.09.24	Iwaki - Tochigi	0:0 ✺
22.09.24	Tochigi - Kagoshima United	2:1 ✺
15.09.24	Tochigi - Mito HollyHock	2:3 ✺
07.09.24	Fujieda MYFC - Tochigi	1:0 ✺
31.08.24	V-Varen Nagasaki - Tochigi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TWLLT
- Ehime FC
Japan J2 League
29.09.24	Ehime - JEF United Chiba	1:2 ✺
21.09.24	Ehime - Montedio Yamagata	1:3 ✺
14.09.24	Fagiano Okayama - Ehime	3:0 ✺
07.09.24	Ehime - Yokohama FC	1:4 ✺
31.08.24	Mito HollyHock - Ehime	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
25.05.24	Ehime - Tochigi	0:0
29.08.21	Ehime - Tochigi	0:1
28.03.21	Tochigi - Ehime	2:1
25.10.20	Ehime - Tochigi	0:1
16.08.20	Tochigi - Ehime	0:0
28.09.19	Ehime - Tochigi	3:2
29.06.19	Tochigi - Ehime	1:2

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