Match Info

J3 League - Round 38

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Gifu Memorial Center Nagaragawa Ball Field (Gifu)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Gifu		Osaka

	1	X	2
	3.95	3.6	1.72	Watch
	4.3	3.88	1.71
	3.20	3.33	2.16	Watch
	4.11	3.9	1.76	Watch
	4	4	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.91 ↑ (3.2)	3.74 ↑ (3.33)	1.8 ↓ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gifu
23.7%

Draw
24.8%

Osaka
51.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

27.9%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

27%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gifu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gifu's form might have worsened.

Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Osaka's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gifu than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osaka than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Osaka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gifu - Osaka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mogi S. (G) 55. Toyama R. 20. Kato S. 3. Nozawa R. 22. Mun In-Ju 8. Araki D. 97. Fukuta A. 28. Hakozaki T. 39. Izumisawa J. 29. Kawamoto R. 16. Nishitani R.	1. Yamamoto T. (G) 37. Tsutsumi S. 3. Kawakami R. 23. Akiyama T. 16. Hashimoto R. 25. Takei S. 27. Sawazaki R. 19. Masuda S. 10. Kubo R. 51. Nishimura M. 20. Horikoshi D.
Substitutes
9. Dudu 40. Hirase D. 33. Kim Yu-Geon 10. Kita R. 19. Matsumoto A. 14. Oiji Y. 32. Owie W. 31. Serantes J. (G) 27. Yokoyama T.	7. Kitsui T. 13. Mima K. 5. Minakuchi Y. 39. Mochizuki S. 41. Nose R. 24. Sato R. 9. Shimada T. 31. Sugawara H. (G) 6. Tachino S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Mun In-Ju 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Mun In-Ju ⚽, Izumisawa J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Nishimura M. ↓, Shimada T. ↑,
46', Horikoshi D. ↓, Nose R. ↑,
55', 1 - 1, Shimada T. ⚽, Sawazaki R. (A),
64', Kawamoto R. ↓, Owie W. ↑,
64', Hakozaki T. ↓, Kita R. ↑,
71', Kubo R. ↓, Mima K. ↑,
73', Araki D. ↓, Yokoyama T. ↑,
75', 1 - 2, Shimada T. ⚽, Hashimoto R. (A),
78', 2 - 2, Nozawa R. ⚽, Kita R. (A),
79', Masuda S. ↓, Mochizuki S. ↑,
83', 2 - 3, Shimada T. ⚽, Mochizuki S. (A),
84', Nishitani R. ↓, Dudu ↑,
87', Tsutsumi S. ↓, Minakuchi Y. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Gifu has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Osaka is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Osaka is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gifu won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 0.8:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Gifu won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Gifu - the odds 3.2 are the expected chance of winning is 29.05%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Osaka - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 43.04%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Gifu
Japan J3 League
23.11.25	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Gifu	2:1 ✺
15.11.25	Gifu - Tochigi City	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Gifu - Gainare Tottori	2:4 ✺
02.11.25	Tochigi - Gifu	1:2 ✺
25.10.25	Gifu - Kagoshima United	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWLWL
- FC Osaka
Japan J3 League
24.11.25	Osaka - Kochi United	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Matsumoto Yamaga - Osaka	1:1 ✺
10.11.25	Osaka - Nagano Parceiro	3:0 ✺
02.11.25	Fukushima United - Osaka	0:1 ✺
24.10.25	Osaka - Tochigi	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
16.02.25	Osaka - Gifu	1:1
02.11.24	Gifu - Osaka	2:0
16.03.24	Osaka - Gifu	0:0
15.10.23	Osaka - Gifu	1:1
16.04.23	Gifu - Osaka	0:1

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