Match Info

Liga F Women - Round 28

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Ipurua (Eibar)

Referee: Gil M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	DAZN Espana


	Eibar		Alhama

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3.15
	2.11	3.23	3.41
	2.16	3.31	3.28	Watch
	2.1	2.9	3.2
	2.05	3.18	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.93)	3.14 ↓ (3.34)	3.28 ↓ (3.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eibar
43.3%

Draw
29%

Alhama
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

27.8%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

27.3%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eibar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Alhama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eibar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alhama than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Eibar - Alhama Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Alhama (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Astralaga E. (G) 11. Camino 5. Ojeda P. 4. Andres C. (C) 12. Belem A. 3. Facila G. 19. Martin S. 8. Iribarren 18. Rico Torres A. 23. Moreno E. 16. Alvarez C.	13. Belotto S. (G) 2. Zumarraga A. 5. Yannel 4. Caravaca J. (C) 10. Alvarez A. 19. Martinez B. 8. Estefa 14. Velazquez Jurico A. 26. Montesinos V. 21. Perez M. 7. Yiyi
Substitutes
22. Clement Tukumbuke O. 6. Etxezarreta A. 32. Extebeste Z. (G) 14. Lacosta I. 28. Lopez M. 20. Masegur M. 21. Uranga 10. Valej E.	27. Castineyras C. 1. de Toro Aldaria E. (G) 22. Diaz Leal M. 18. Encarni 16. Gestera M. 11. Kuki 3. Martinez N. 9. Pinel R. 20. Santamaria Coleto A. 17. Toro J. 28. Zapata P.
Coaches
Goikoetxea I.	Garcia J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Camino (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Velazquez Jurico A. 🟨,
58', Velazquez Jurico A. ↓, Pinel R. ↑,
60', Moreno E. ↓, Lacosta I. ↑,
67', 2 - 0, Alvarez C. ⚽, Camino (A),
69', Estefa ↓, Gestera M. ↑,
69', Zumarraga A. ↓, Diaz Leal M. ↑,
72', Andres C. ↓, Masegur M. ↑,
84', Camino ↓, Etxezarreta A. ↑,
84', Martin S. ↓, Uranga ↑,
84', Alvarez C. ↓, Clement Tukumbuke O. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera Federacion Women).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Eibar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Eibar will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Eibar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Eibar W	6	3	2	1	4:4	0	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Eibar Women
Spanish Liga F Women
03.05.26	Atlético Madrid - Eibar	4:0 ✺
25.04.26	Eibar - Levante	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Eibar - Tenerife	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Eibar	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Eibar - Real Madrid	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWTLL
- Alhama CF
Spanish Liga F Women
01.05.26	Alhama - Espanyol	3:1 ✺
26.04.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Alhama	2:2 ✺
04.04.26	Alhama - Real Sociedad	1:5 ✺
28.03.26	Badalona - Alhama	3:2 ✺
22.03.26	Alhama - Atlético Madrid	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga F Women
10.01.26	Alhama - Eibar	0:1
Spanish Copa De La Reina
26.01.22	Alhama - Eibar	3:1

Eibar - Alhama: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide