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Current Win Probability
Eibar 34.4%
Draw 29.9%
Deportivo A Coruña 35.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.7%
28.1%
36.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.7%
27.3%
37.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Eibar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
Deportivo A Coruña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo A Coruña than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Eibar - Deportivo A Coruña Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Astralaga E. (G) 5. Ojeda P. 6. Etxezarreta A. 20. Masegur M. 4. Andres C. (C) 3. Facila G. 19. Diaz S. 8. Iribarren 12. Belem A. 11. Camino 16. Alvarez C.
13. Teixeira Pereira I. (G) 26. Novo P. 5. Artero M. 18. Garcia Yague R. 11. Monteagudo P. 6. Gutierrez P. (C) 21. Martinez L. 14. Marin Martin A. 8. Rodriguez O. 9. Pizarro E. 10. Millene
Substitutes
7. Altonaga A. 22. Clement Tukumbuke O. 28. Guerenu 14. Lacosta I. 13. Marti Ensenat L. (G) 23. Moreno E. 17. Peckova A. 21. Uranga 10. Valej E.
1. Gomez Y. (G) 15. Gonzalez R. M. 19. Latorre B. 16. Marisa 3. Martinez V. 4. Muina Asla H. 2. Ortiz S. 20. Vazquez E.
Coaches
Goikoetxea I.
Alonso F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
45+3', Belem A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 1 - 0, Diaz S. ⚽, Etxezarreta A. (A),
60', Marin Martin A. 🟨,
61', Alvarez C. ↓, Clement Tukumbuke O. ↑,
63', Etxezarreta A. 🟨,
69', Diaz S. ↓, Lacosta I. ↑,
69', Ojeda P. ↓, Moreno E. ↑,
71', Masegur M. 🟨,
74', Martinez L. ↓, Muina Asla H. ↑,
74', Millene ↓, Marisa ↑,
74', Pizarro E. ↓, Latorre B. ↑,
83', Iribarren ↓, Valej E. ↑,
83', Etxezarreta A. ↓, Altonaga A. ↑,
86', Gutierrez P. ↓, Gonzalez R. M. ↑,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 13 and 12)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eibar won 2.
Eibar has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Deportivo has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Eibar won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:8. (average 1.1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Eibar won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).