The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Eibar B 42.8%
Draw 28.8%
Bergantiños 28.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
38%
28.2%
33.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.9%
29.6%
32.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Eibar B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
Bergantiños has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bergantiños might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eibar B than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bergantiños than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Eibar B - Bergantiños Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Fuente M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
47', 2 - 0, Fuente M. ⚽,
60', 2 - 1, Alex Pachon ⚽,
75', 2 - 2, Gandoy Y. ⚽,
78', 3 - 2, Zubiria I. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Promotion Play Offs and 1st in the Promotion).
Eibar B has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Bergantiños is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Eibar B is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Bergantinos
8
5
2
1
19:10
9
17
4
Eibar B
8
5
2
1
14:6
8
17
Last Results with these Odds
Eibar B - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 38.01%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.
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