The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Eibar C 22.2%
Draw 28.2%
Derio 49.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.5%
27.8%
42.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.7%
27%
43.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Eibar C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Eibar C's form might have worsened.
Derio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Derio's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eibar C than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eibar C, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derio than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Derio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Eibar C - Derio Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Barron J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+5', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )).
Eibar C is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Derio is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Derio could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Eibar C won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
Including home match between the teams, Eibar C won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.