The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Durango 40.6%
Draw 28.1%
Derio 31.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
43.8%
27.9%
28.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Durango has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
Derio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
Durango - Derio Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
17', Asier Santamaria 🟥,
32', 0 - 1, Moral M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 1 - 1, Enekoru ⚽,
89', Aritz 🟥,
Preview
A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 10th and 2nd in the Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Playoffs).
Derio is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Durango could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Durango has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:7 (averaging 0.8:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Durango against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:1 goals (averaging 0.5:0.5 per game).
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