Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 10Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Durango |
|
Derio |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.28 |
2.98 |
2.98 |
|
 |
2.37 |
2.95 |
3.09 |
|
 |
2.33 |
2.94 |
3.01 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.33 ↓
(2.36) |
2.96 ↑
(2.88) |
3.03 ↓
(3.11) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Durango
39.1% | Draw
30.8% | Derio
30.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Durango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Derio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)The ML Model estimate for Durango aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derio than the current prediction. (-0.9%)Durango - Derio Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )).Durango has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).Derio is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).Derio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Durango has had a series of away games. In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Durango won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).Including home match between the teams, Durango won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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