Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 16

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Ipurua (Eibar)


	Eibar C		Lagun Onak

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.25	1.93
	3.85	3.35	1.8
	4.18	3.48	1.78	Watch
	4	3.2	1.85
	4.13	3.34	1.79
	3.75	3.33	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.89 ↑ (3.5)	3.33 ↑ (3.31)	1.84 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eibar C
23.3%

Draw
27.3%

Lagun Onak
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

27.5%

46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

26.3%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eibar C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Lagun Onak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eibar C than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lagun Onak than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Eibar C - Lagun Onak Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
68', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Eibar C is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Lagun Onak has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Lagun Onak could have a small edge in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Lagun Onak	5	2	1	2	4:5	-1	7
13	Eibar C	5	1	2	2	8:8	0	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Eibar C
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
20.12.25	Deusto - Eibar C	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Eibar C - Portugalete	0:5 ✺
06.12.25	San Ignacio - Eibar C	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Eibar C - Derio	1:1 ✺
15.11.25	Touring KE - Eibar C	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TLLTL
- CD Lagun Onak
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
20.12.25	Lagun Onak - Añorga	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Durango - Lagun Onak	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Lagun Onak - Aretxabaleta	2:0 ✺
23.11.25	Zamudio - Lagun Onak	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Lagun Onak - Santurtzi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWLL

Eibar C - Lagun Onak: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide