Match Info

Regionalliga Nordost - Round 8

Date: 16 September 2025, Tuesday


	Eilenburg		Babelsberg

	1	X	2
	2.98	3.4	2.15
	3.06	3.38	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↓ (3.09)	3.39 ↑ (3.35)	2.13 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eilenburg
30.2%

Draw
26.9%

Babelsberg
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

27.3%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

26.6%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eilenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Babelsberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eilenburg than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Babelsberg than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Eilenburg - Babelsberg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Muller L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', 0 - 2, Schmidt T. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eilenburg won 2.

Eilenburg has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Babelsberg's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Babelsberg will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Eilenburg won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Eilenburg won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Eilenburg
German Regionalliga Nordost
13.09.25	Carl Zeiss Jena - Eilenburg	2:0 ✺
31.08.25	Eilenburg - Lokomotive Leipzig	0:1 ✺
27.08.25	Meuselwitz - Eilenburg	1:1 ✺
22.08.25	Eilenburg - Altglienicke	0:2 ✺
08.08.25	Hertha Berlin II - Eilenburg	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLTLL
- SV Babelsberg 03
German Regionalliga Nordost
13.09.25	Babelsberg - Chemnitzer	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	Berliner FC Dynamo - Babelsberg	0:4 ✺
27.08.25	Babelsberg - Greifswald	3:1 ✺
22.08.25	Chemie Leipzig - Babelsberg	2:3 ✺
09.08.25	Babelsberg - Zwickau	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
28.03.25	Eilenburg - Babelsberg	3:2
27.09.24	Babelsberg - Eilenburg	2:2
27.01.24	Babelsberg - Eilenburg	1:0
04.08.23	Eilenburg - Babelsberg	0:1
29.04.22	Eilenburg - Babelsberg	1:0
24.11.21	Babelsberg - Eilenburg	1:0

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