The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chemnitzer 39.8%
Draw 25.6%
Rot-Weiß Erfurt 34.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
36.3%
21.6%
42.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.3%
21%
43.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chemnitzer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
Rot-Weiß Erfurt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rot-Weiß Erfurt might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chemnitzer than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rot-Weiß Erfurt than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rot-Weiß Erfurt could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Chemnitzer - Rot Weiß Erfurt Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Marx J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
67', 1 - 1, Forkel D. ⚽,
70', 2 - 1, Dehl L. (Own goal),
90+3', 3 - 1, Berlinski R. ⚽,
Preview
A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 2nd and 1st in the Promotion - 3. Liga).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chemnitzer won 1.
Both teams enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Chemnitzer has recorded 9 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 31:26 (averaging 1.6:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Chemnitzer against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 15:12 goals (averaging 1.5:1.2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Erfurt
14
9
4
1
42:18
24
31
2
Chemnitzer
14
9
3
2
30:9
21
30
Last Results with these Odds
Chemnitzer - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 36.29%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.
Germany
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