Match Info

Regionalliga Nordost - Round 32

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday


	Eilenburg		Greifswald

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.5	1.92
	3.52	3.56	1.94
	3.49	3.57	1.92
	3.4	3.3	1.95
	3.49	3.42	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↑ (2.98)	3.47 ↑ (3.27)	1.93 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eilenburg
26.3%

Draw
26.4%

Greifswald
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

27.7%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

26.5%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eilenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Greifswald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Greifswald's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eilenburg than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greifswald than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Eilenburg - Greifswald Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
4', 0 - 1, Benyamina S. ⚽,
15', 0 - 2, Atilgan O. ⚽,
45+1', 0 - 3, Vogt D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
77', 0 - 4, Bokake G. ⚽,
77', 0 - 5, Lammel L. ⚽,
81', 0 - 6, Benyamina S. ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 and 16).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Greifswald may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Greifswald is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eilenburg won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:14. (average 0.8:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Eilenburg won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Greifswald	11	5	4	2	23:16	7	19

Last Results with these Odds

Eilenburg - the odds 2.98 are the expected chance of winning is 30.48%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Eilenburg
German Regionalliga Nordost
25.04.26	Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Eilenburg	3:3 ✺
19.04.26	Eilenburg - Berliner FC Dynamo	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Luckenwalde - Eilenburg	1:1 ✺
02.04.26	Eilenburg - Chemnitzer	1:1 ✺
25.03.26	Altglienicke - Eilenburg	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TTTTL
- Greifswalder FC
German Regionalliga Nordost
24.04.26	Greifswald - Altglienicke	1:0 ✺
17.04.26	Carl Zeiss Jena - Greifswald	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Greifswald - Zwickau	1:2 ✺
08.04.26	Greifswald - Babelsberg	0:0 ✺
05.04.26	Preussen - Greifswald	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
09.11.25	Greifswald - Eilenburg	2:1
04.05.25	Greifswald - Eilenburg	4:2
09.11.24	Eilenburg - Greifswald	0:3
16.12.23	Eilenburg - Greifswald	0:2
29.07.23	Greifswald - Eilenburg	3:1

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