Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 1

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Deutsche Bank Park (Frankfurt)

Referee: Osmers H. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Eintracht Frankfurt		Werder Bremen

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.75	5.25	Watch
	1.68	4.1	4.6
	1.68	4.25	4.7	Watch
	1.55	4.8	5.58
	1.55	4.56	5.02	Watch
	1.65	4	4.6	Watch
	1.7	4.43	4.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.85)	4.41 ↑ (4.01)	4.96 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eintracht Frankfurt
59%

Draw
21.7%

Werder Bremen
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eintracht Frankfurt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Eintracht Frankfurt's performance.

Werder Bremen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eintracht Frankfurt than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Eintracht Frankfurt that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78%	12.2%	9.8%

Eintracht Frankfurt - Werder Bremen Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Eintracht (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Werder (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Eintracht (2.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Eintracht Frankfurt will win (32 of 41 users predict this - 78.05%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.38% – 90.72%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Eintracht (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Werder (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Zetterer M. (G) 13. Kristensen R. 34. Collins N. 4. Koch R. 3. Theate A. 8. Chaibi F. 16. Larsson H. 20. Doan R. 42. Uzun C. Y. 19. Bahoya J. 9. Burkardt J.	30. Backhaus M. (G) 22. Malatini J. 4. Stark N. 32. Friedl M. 27. Agu F. 10. Bittencourt L. 14. Lynen S. 11. Njinmah J. 20. Schmid R. 7. Mbangula S. 17. Grull M.
Substitutes
30. Batshuayi M. 21. Brown N. 24. Buta 27. Gotze M. 33. Grahl J. (G) 6. Hojlund O. 7. Knauff A. 29. Nkounkou N. 17. Wahi E.	34. Adeh W. 28. Alvero S. 31. Coulibaly K. 24. Covic P. 21. Hansen-Aaroen I. 25. Kolke M. (G) 35. Opitz L. 33. Schmetgens M. 9. Topp K.
Coaches
Toppmoller D.	Steffen H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', Kristensen R. 🟨,
22', 1 - 0, Uzun C. Y. ⚽, Larsson H. (A),
25', 2 - 0, Bahoya J. ⚽, Uzun C. Y. (A),
35', Malatini J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', 3 - 0, Bahoya J. ⚽, Uzun C. Y. (A),
48', 3 - 1, Njinmah J. ⚽, Grull M. (A),
58', Stark N. 🟨,
58', Njinmah J. 🟨,
65', Mbangula S. ↓, Covic P. ↑,
68', Bahoya J. ↓, Knauff A. ↑,
68', Burkardt J. ↓, Wahi E. ↑,
70', 4 - 1, Knauff A. ⚽, Chaibi F. (A),
74', Uzun C. Y. ↓, Gotze M. ↑,
78', Bittencourt L. ↓, Topp K. ↑,
78', Stark N. ↓, Coulibaly K. ↑,
83', Doan R. ↓, Brown N. ↑,
83', Larsson H. ↓, Hojlund O. ↑,
89', Grull M. ↓, Hansen-Aaroen I. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eintracht won 2.

Eintracht has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Werder has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Eintracht may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Eintracht has had a series of away games.

Recently, Werder has had a series of home games.

In this match, Eintracht is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Eintracht: Kaua Santos (Knee Injury) Ngankam J. (Leg Injury) Skhiri E. (Injury)

There will not play in Werder: Deman O. (Ankle Injury) Pieper A. (Hip Injury) Stage J. (Foot Injury) Weiser M. (Knee Injury) Wober M. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Eintracht won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:26. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Eintracht won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:10. (average 1.6:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eintracht Frankfurt
German DFB Pokal
17.08.25	Engers - Eintracht Frankfurt	0:5 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Fulham - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:0 ✺
02.08.25	Philadelphia Union - Eintracht Frankfurt	2:2 ✺
29.07.25	Louisville City - Eintracht Frankfurt	2:5 ✺
26.07.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Aston Villa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLTWT
- Werder Bremen
German DFB Pokal
15.08.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Werder Bremen	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Werder Bremen - Udinese	1:2 ✺
09.08.25	Werder Bremen - Udinese	0:1 ✺
01.08.25	Werder Bremen - Hoffenheim	0:3 ✺
01.08.25	Werder Bremen - Hoffenheim	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
05.04.25	Werder Bremen - Eintracht Frankfurt	2:0
23.11.24	Eintracht Frankfurt - Werder Bremen	1:0
05.04.24	Eintracht Frankfurt - Werder Bremen	1:1
12.11.23	Werder Bremen - Eintracht Frankfurt	2:2
18.02.23	Eintracht Frankfurt - Werder Bremen	2:0
28.08.22	Werder Bremen - Eintracht Frankfurt	3:4
26.02.21	Werder Bremen - Eintracht Frankfurt	2:1

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