Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 16

Date: 27 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Weserstadion (Bremen)

Referee: Storks S. (Ger)


	Werder Bremen		Hoffenheim

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.7	1.91	Watch
	3.3	3.6	2.1
	3.7	3.7	1.95	Watch
	3.88	3.85	2
	3.61	3.82	1.97	Watch
	3.6	3.5	1.91
	4.06	3.82	1.91	Watch
	3.8	3.8	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.71 ↑ (2.78)	3.72 ↓ (3.75)	1.96 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Werder Bremen
25.7%

Draw
25.6%

Hoffenheim
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

25.4%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

25.3%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Werder Bremen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Werder Bremen's form might have worsened.

Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hoffenheim's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Werder Bremen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hoffenheim, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.7%	10%	81.2%

Werder Bremen - Hoffenheim Predictions

Users Predictions: 75 users predict this event. Werder will win (votes: 6 - 8%). Hoffenheim will win (votes: 63 - 84%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hoffenheim: 75.7% – 92.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Hoffenheim (1.45) (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +0.5 - Werder (1.90) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

DC - Hoffenheim (1.29) (votes: 8 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

AH -1.5 - Hoffenheim (3.34) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hoffenheim will win (34 of 37 users predict this - 91.89%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 54 Selected Experts predict this event. Werder (votes: 6 - 11.1%). Hoffenheim (votes: 47 - 87%). Tie (votes: 1 - 1.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Backhaus M. (G) 22. Malatini J. 14. Lynen S. 31. Coulibaly K. 3. Sugawara Y. 6. Stage J. 2. Deman O. 20. Schmid R. 18. Puertas C. 11. Njinmah J. 19. Milosevic J.	1. Baumann O. (G) 34. Coufal V. 2. Hranac R. 21. Hajdari A. 13. Bernardo 27. Kramaric A. 6. Promel G. 7. Avdullahu L. 18. Burger W. 22. Prass A. 19. Lemperle T.
Substitutes
34. Adeh W. 28. Alvero S. 24. Covic P. 17. Grull M. 21. Hansen-Aaroen I. 13. Hein K. (G) 7. Mbangula S. 33. Schmetgens M. 9. Topp K.	25. Akpoguma K. 11. Asllani F. 10. Damar M. 15. Gendrey V. 5. Kabak O. 33. Moerstedt M. 37. Philipp L. (G) 29. Toure B.
Coaches
Steffen H.	Ilzer C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, Prass A. ⚽, Kramaric A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', Milosevic J. 🟨,
52', Burger W. 🟥,
54', 0 - 2, Promel G. ⚽,
59', Kramaric A. ↓, Kabak O. ↑,
59', Deman O. ↓, Mbangula S. ↑,
59', Njinmah J. ↓, Grull M. ↑,
73', Stage J. 🟨,
76', Lemperle T. ↓, Moerstedt M. ↑,
76', Puertas C. ↓, Covic P. ↑,
76', Malatini J. ↓, Topp K. ↑,
90+4', Baumann O. 🟨,
90+6', Prass A. ↓, Akpoguma K. ↑,
90+7', Bernardo 🟨,

Preview

Postponed due to bad weather.

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Werder won 1.

Recent form of Werder has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Hoffenheim is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Werder: Agu F. (Ankle Injury) Backhaus M. (Eye injury) Boniface V. (Knee Injury) Weiser M. (Knee Injury) Wober M. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Hoffenheim: Hajdari A. (Yellow Cards) Hlozek A. (Calf Injury) Machida K. (Knee Injury) Toure B. (International duty)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Werder won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 23:39. (average 1.2:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Werder won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:24. (average 1:2).

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Hoffenheim: 0.44% Werder Bremen: 0.23%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8:8	0	7
14	Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7:10	-3	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Werder Bremen
German Bundesliga
24.01.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Werder Bremen	1:0 ✺
16.01.26	Werder Bremen - Eintracht Frankfurt	3:3 ✺
13.01.26	Borussia Dortmund - Werder Bremen	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
04.01.26	St. Pauli - Werder Bremen	0:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
20.12.25	Augsburg - Werder Bremen	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTLTT
- TSG Hoffenheim
German Bundesliga
24.01.26	Eintracht Frankfurt - Hoffenheim	1:3 ✺
17.01.26	Hoffenheim - Bayer Leverkusen	1:0 ✺
14.01.26	Hoffenheim - Borussia Mönchengladbach	5:1 ✺
Club Friendly
06.01.26	Hoffenheim - Heerenveen	Canceled ✺
German Bundesliga
20.12.25	Stuttgart - Hoffenheim	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWW?T

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
01.08.25	Werder Bremen - Hoffenheim	0:3
01.08.25	Werder Bremen - Hoffenheim	0:1
German Bundesliga
16.02.25	Werder Bremen - Hoffenheim	1:3
29.09.24	Hoffenheim - Werder Bremen	3:4
03.03.24	Hoffenheim - Werder Bremen	2:1
07.10.23	Werder Bremen - Hoffenheim	2:3
02.04.23	Werder Bremen - Hoffenheim	1:2

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