Match Info
Bundesliga - Round 16Date: 27 January 2026, TuesdayLocation: Weserstadion (Bremen)Referee: Storks S. (Ger)
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Werder Bremen |
|
Hoffenheim |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
- The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Werder Bremen
25.7% | Draw
25.6% | Hoffenheim
48.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Werder Bremen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Werder Bremen's form might have worsened.Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hoffenheim's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (+8.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Werder Bremen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hoffenheim, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Predictions
Users Predictions:
75 users predict this event. Werder will win (votes: 6 - 8%). Hoffenheim will win (votes: 63 - 84%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hoffenheim: 75.7% – 92.3%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DNB - Hoffenheim (1.45) (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +0.5 - Werder (1.90) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
- DC - Hoffenheim (1.29) (votes: 8 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
- AH -1.5 - Hoffenheim (3.34) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hoffenheim will win (34 of 37 users predict this - 91.89%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 55 Selected Experts predict this event. Werder (votes: 6 - 10.9%). Hoffenheim (votes: 48 - 87.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 1.8%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2 
#ad
Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
30.  Backhaus M. (G)
22.  Malatini J.
14.  Lynen S.
31. Coulibaly K.
3.  Sugawara Y.
6.  Stage J.
2. Deman O.
20.  Schmid R.
18.  Puertas C.
11. Njinmah J.
19.  Milosevic J.
| 1. Baumann O. (G)
34.  Coufal V.
2. Hranac R.
21.  Hajdari A.
13.  Bernardo
27.  Kramaric A.
6. Promel G.
7. Avdullahu L.
18.  Burger W.
22. Prass A.
19. Lemperle T.
|
| Substitutes |
34. Adeh W.
28.  Alvero S.
24. Covic P.
17. Grull M.
21.  Hansen-Aaroen I.
13.  Hein K. (G)
7. Mbangula S.
33. Schmetgens M.
9. Topp K.
| 25.  Akpoguma K.
11. Asllani F.
10. Damar M.
15. Gendrey V.
5.  Kabak O.
33. Moerstedt M.
37. Philipp L. (G)
29.  Toure B.
|
| Coaches |
Steffen H.
| Ilzer C.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 44', 0 - 1, Prass A. ⚽, Kramaric A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 47', Milosevic J. 🟨,
- 52', Burger W. 🟥,
- 54', 0 - 2, Promel G. ⚽,
- 59', Kramaric A. ↓, Kabak O. ↑,
- 59', Deman O. ↓, Mbangula S. ↑,
- 59', Njinmah J. ↓, Grull M. ↑,
- 73', Stage J. 🟨,
- 76', Lemperle T. ↓, Moerstedt M. ↑,
- 76', Puertas C. ↓, Covic P. ↑,
- 76', Malatini J. ↓, Topp K. ↑,
- 90+4', Baumann O. 🟨,
- 90+6', Prass A. ↓, Akpoguma K. ↑,
- 90+7', Bernardo 🟨,
Preview
Postponed due to bad weather.A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Werder won 1.Recent form of Werder has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).Hoffenheim is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3). The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.There will not play in Werder: Agu F.
(Ankle Injury)
Backhaus M.
(Eye injury)
Boniface V.
(Knee Injury)
Weiser M.
(Knee Injury)
Wober M.
(Muscle Injury)There will not play in Hoffenheim: Hajdari A.
(Yellow Cards)
Hlozek A.
(Calf Injury)
Machida K.
(Knee Injury)
Toure B.
(International duty)In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Werder won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 23:39. (average 1.2:2).Including home matches between the teams, Werder won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:24. (average 1:2).
banner
Outrights of German Bundesliga for now
Hoffenheim: 1.14% Werder Bremen: 0.45%
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 10 | Werder Bremen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 16 | Hoffenheim | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 0 |
|
|
Last Results with these Odds
Werder Bremen - the odds 2.78 are the expected chance of winning is 34.2%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Club Friendly | | | 01.08.25 | Werder Bremen - Hoffenheim | 0:3 | | 01.08.25 | Werder Bremen - Hoffenheim | 0:1 | | German Bundesliga | | | 16.02.25 | Werder Bremen - Hoffenheim | 1:3 | | 29.09.24 | Hoffenheim - Werder Bremen | 3:4 | | 03.03.24 | Hoffenheim - Werder Bremen | 2:1 | | 07.10.23 | Werder Bremen - Hoffenheim | 2:3 | | 02.04.23 | Werder Bremen - Hoffenheim | 1:2 |
|
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Watch
