Match Info

Date: 15 August 2021, Sunday


	Werder Bremen		Paderborn

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.6	3.75	Watch
	1.9	3.5	4.25	Watch
	1.93	3.45	3.9
	1.87	3.6	3.9
	1.91	3.76	4.19
	1.83	3.5	4
	1.89	3.76	3.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.89)	3.6 ↑ (3.55)	3.99 ↓ (4.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Werder Bremen
50%

Draw
26.3%

Paderborn
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

26.5%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

17.4%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Werder Bremen have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Paderborn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (-17.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Werder Bremen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paderborn could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.7%	14.7%	20.6%

Werder Bremen - Paderborn Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Werder will win (votes: 22 - 64.7%). Paderborn will win (votes: 7 - 20.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 14.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Werder: 48.6% – 80.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Preview

Werder has the most likely position - 1 (28.34%), has project points - 61, has currently - 4, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of promoted (50%), has a chance of win league (28%).

Paderborn has the most likely position - 12 (6.52%), has project points - 45, has currently - 2, has a small chance of relegated (14%), has a small chance of promoted (8%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Recently Werder have a series of guest games.

In this match Werder is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Werder won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Werder won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Werder Bremen
German DFB Pokal
07.08.21	Osnabrück - Werder Bremen	2:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
31.07.21	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Werder Bremen	2:3 ✺
24.07.21	Werder Bremen - Hannover	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
17.07.21	Feyenoord - Werder Bremen	2:1 ✺
07.07.21	Zenit - Werder Bremen	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWTLT
- SC Paderborn 07
German DFB Pokal
06.08.21	Dynamo Dresden - Paderborn	2:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
30.07.21	Paderborn - Nürnberg	2:2 ✺
24.07.21	Heidenheim - Paderborn	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
17.07.21	Paderborn - Borussia Mönchengladbach	3:1 ✺
10.07.21	Ajax - Paderborn	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
13.06.20	Paderborn - Werder Bremen	1:5
08.12.19	Werder Bremen - Paderborn	0:1
26.04.15	Paderborn - Werder Bremen	2:2
29.11.14	Werder Bremen - Paderborn	4:0
Club Friendly
29.07.12	Paderborn - Werder Bremen	2:1

Upcoming Matches