Match Info

Date: 1 March 2020, Sunday


	Ejea		Castellón

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.9	2.5
	2.7	2.6	2.9
	2.7	2.67	2.6
	2.91	2.75	2.85
	2.8	2.75	2.7
	2.86	2.72	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.67)	2.73 ↓ (3)	2.72 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ejea
33%

Draw
33.4%

Castellón
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

30.2%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

21.8%

49.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ejea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Castellón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ejea than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ejea that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (+16.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Castellón could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ejea - Castellón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Ejea
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
23.02.20	Lleida - Ejea	2:0 ✺
16.02.20	Ejea - Cornellà	0:1 ✺
09.02.20	Ebro - Ejea	1:1 ✺
02.02.20	Ejea - Andorra	1:1 ✺
25.01.20	Barcelona B - Ejea	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLTTL
- CD Castellón
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
23.02.20	Castellón - Gimnástic de Tarragona	3:2 ✺
16.02.20	Badalona - Castellón	1:1 ✺
09.02.20	Castellón - Espanyol B	1:0 ✺
02.02.20	Olot - Castellón	1:0 ✺
26.01.20	Castellón - La Nucía	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
13.10.19	Castellón - Ejea	1:1
21.04.19	Castellón - Ejea	1:0
01.12.18	Ejea - Castellón	2:0

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