Match Info

Date: 16 February 2020, Sunday


	Badalona		Castellón

	1	X	2
	2.85	2.65	2.55
	2.7	2.65	2.88
	2.51	2.6	2.89
	2.8	2.57	3.21
	2.45	2.75	3.1
	2.62	2.78	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↓ (2.79)	2.67 ↓ (3.07)	2.93 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Badalona
34.5%

Draw
34.3%

Castellón
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

29.5%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

21.6%

51.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Badalona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Castellón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Castellón might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Badalona than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Badalona that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (+20.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Castellón could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Badalona - Castellón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Badalona
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
09.02.20	Lleida - Badalona	3:0 ✺
02.02.20	Badalona - Cornellà	0:2 ✺
26.01.20	Ebro - Badalona	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
22.01.20	Badalona - Granada	1:3 ET ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
19.01.20	Badalona - Andorra	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLT
- CD Castellón
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
09.02.20	Castellón - Espanyol B	1:0 ✺
02.02.20	Olot - Castellón	1:0 ✺
26.01.20	Castellón - La Nucía	3:0 ✺
19.01.20	Valencia B - Castellón	1:2 ✺
12.01.20	Castellón - Sabadell	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
29.09.19	Castellón - Badalona	3:1
17.03.19	Castellón - Badalona	2:1
28.10.18	Badalona - Castellón	2:0

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