Match Info

Ykkosliiga

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Ekenas Sparbank Arena TN (Raseborg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Ekenäs		Haka

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.33	3.90	1.58
	4.00	3.80	1.63
	5.01	4.30	1.62
	4.44	4.09	1.68	Watch
	4.95	4.20	1.59
	4.40	4.08	1.68	Watch
	4.40	3.90	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.5 ↑ (4)	4.04 ↑ (3.78)	1.62 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ekenäs
20.4%

Draw
22.8%

Haka
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.4%

24.7%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

24.4%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ekenäs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Haka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ekenäs than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haka than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Ekenäs - Haka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Mikkonen A. (G) 23. Bah S. 17. Etu F. 34. Kerrebijn R. 10. Lucas Kaufmann (C) 3. Maes D. 29. Mohamed F. 11. Mohammed N. 5. Pakkanen R. 8. Peltola A. 13. Sallinen O.	12. Lepola A. (C) 9. Ali Abubakar T. 4. Auvinen E. 25. Enqvist D. 3. Friberg N. 16. Laaksonen O. 10. Maenpaa A. 13. Mahlamaki M. 21. Nurmi K. 6. Silas C. 77. Whyte O.
Substitutes
15. Bjorklund A. 30. Gunes O. 25. Hamdi M. 1. Holmberg R. (G) 27. Kocol D. 24. Pelkonen N. 21. Sandbacka A. 18. Sivonen A.	20. Cisse M. 8. Karlsson J. 7. Lahdensuo T. 18. Mattila E. 26. Paavola O. 30. Purosalo V. 24. Sitchinava N. 15. Syrjalainen M. 1. Ziprus J. (G)
Coaches
Lignell M.	Ekmark T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', Maes D. 🟨,
18', Sallinen O. 🟨,
19', 0 - 1, Whyte O. (Penalty Awarded),
32', Friberg N. 🟨,
41', Auvinen E. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Kerrebijn R. ⚽, Mohammed N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 1 - 2, Mahlamaki M. ⚽, Laaksonen O. (A),
70', Sallinen O. ↓, Kocol D. ↑,
72', Laaksonen O. ↓, Purosalo V. ↑,
80', Whyte O. ↓, Karlsson J. ↑,
80', Nurmi K. ↓, Mattila E. ↑,
85', Bah S. ↓, Gunes O. ↑,
90+1', Ali Abubakar T. ↓, Paavola O. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 2, Mikkonen A. ⚽, Pakkanen R. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, EIF won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

EIF may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Haka is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, EIF won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 24:42. (average 1.2:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, EIF won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.4:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Haka	25	13	5	7	47:29	18	44
6	Ekenas	25	8	5	12	29:37	-8	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ekenäs IF
Finnish Ykkosliiga
04.09.26	PK-35 Vantaa - Ekenäs	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Ekenäs - JIPPO	0:2 ✺
22.08.26	Ekenäs - KTP Kotka	0:1 ✺
16.08.26	Mikkelin Palloilijat - Ekenäs	0:2 ✺
08.08.26	KaPa - Ekenäs	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TLLWW
- FC Haka
Finnish Ykkosliiga
06.09.26	Haka - Mikkelin Palloilijat	0:2 ✺
28.08.26	KTP Kotka - Haka	2:1 ✺
21.08.26	Haka - SJK Akatemia	2:0 ✺
14.08.26	JäPS - Haka	1:2 ✺
07.08.26	Haka - JIPPO	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkosliiga
11.07.26	Haka - Ekenäs	3:1
08.05.26	Haka - Ekenäs	4:3
Finnish Ykkoscup
18.02.26	Haka - Ekenäs	2:1
Club Friendly
22.03.25	Ekenäs - Haka	1:1
Finnish Veikkausliiga
04.08.24	Ekenäs - Haka	1:2
12.04.24	Haka - Ekenäs	2:1
Club Friendly
24.03.23	Ekenäs - Haka	2:4

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