Match Info

Ykkosliiga

Date: 28 August 2026, Friday

Location: Arto Tolsa Areena (Kotka)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	KTP Kotka		Haka

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	3.30	2.75
	2.32	3.25	2.55	Watch
	2.35	3.55	2.93
	2.22	3.61	2.97	Watch
	2.30	3.45	2.90
	2.24	3.40	2.79	Watch
	2.18	3.35	2.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.11)	3.42 ↓ (3.54)	2.81 ↓ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

KTP Kotka
40.7%

Draw
26.8%

Haka
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

26%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

25.7%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KTP Kotka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Haka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KTP Kotka than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haka than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

KTP Kotka - Haka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Zhuk M. (G) 15. Adebayo A. 3. Agyei D. 4. Chibuzor C. 8. Coker M. 10. Forsell P. 7. Makela J. (C) 17. Manneh F. 26. Paavola M. 30. Puhakainen L. 14. Sunday G.	12. Lepola A. (C) 4. Auvinen E. 3. Friberg N. 16. Laaksonen O. 7. Lahdensuo T. 10. Maenpaa A. 13. Mahlamaki M. 21. Nurmi K. 30. Purosalo V. 6. Silas C. 77. Whyte O.
Substitutes
18. Eloluoto O. 21. Hanninen O. 5. Holtta S. 2. Huttunen O. 25. Leikas J. (G) 9. Ogunkoya P. 22. Rangel 29. Ruohio A. 13. Tahmbi N.	9. Ali Abubakar T. 25. Enqvist D. 8. Karlsson J. 23. Lehtinen T. 18. Mattila E. 17. Pietsalo R. 24. Sitchinava N. 32. Slawuta F. (G) 15. Syrjalainen M.
Coaches
Pasoja J.	Ekmark T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Adebayo A. ↓, Rangel ↑,
20', 1 - 0, Rangel ⚽,
44', Paavola M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', Nurmi K. ↓, Ali Abubakar T. ↑,
59', Lahdensuo T. ↓, Enqvist D. ↑,
66', Manneh F. ↓, Holtta S. ↑,
66', Sunday G. ↓, Tahmbi N. ↑,
73', 1 - 1, Whyte O. ⚽,
76', 2 - 1, Rangel ⚽, Coker M. (A),
78', Puhakainen L. ↓, Ogunkoya P. ↑,
78', Rangel ↓, Eloluoto O. ↑,
78', Silas C. ↓, Karlsson J. ↑,
88', Mahlamaki M. ↓, Pietsalo R. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KTP won 3.

Both teams have triumphed in their latest matches.

KTP might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KTP won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 22:39. (average 1.1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, KTP won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.7:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	KTP ✔	25	18	4	3	45:22	23	58
3	Haka	25	13	5	7	47:29	18	44

Last Results with these Odds

KTP Kotka - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 43.54%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KTP Kotka
Finnish Ykkosliiga
22.08.26	Ekenäs - KTP Kotka	0:1 ✺
Finnish Ykkoscup
15.08.26	KTP Kotka - KaPa	2:1 ✺
09.08.26	Klubi 04 - KTP Kotka	0:1 ✺
Finnish Ykkosliiga
31.07.26	KTP Kotka - SJK Akatemia	2:1 ✺
25.07.26	Mikkelin Palloilijat - KTP Kotka	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWWT
- FC Haka
Finnish Ykkosliiga
21.08.26	Haka - SJK Akatemia	2:0 ✺
14.08.26	JäPS - Haka	1:2 ✺
07.08.26	Haka - JIPPO	3:0 ✺
31.07.26	PK-35 Vantaa - Haka	1:4 ✺
25.07.26	Haka - KaPa	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkoscup
27.06.26	Haka - KTP Kotka	0:2
Finnish Ykkosliiga
08.06.26	KTP Kotka - Haka	0:2
Finnish Veikkausliiga
18.10.25	Haka - KTP Kotka	1:2
26.07.25	Haka - KTP Kotka	2:3
23.05.25	KTP Kotka - Haka	0:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
22.01.25	Haka - KTP Kotka	3:1
Finnish Veikkausliiga
07.10.23	Haka - KTP Kotka	2:0

Upcoming Matches