Match Info

Ykkosliiga

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Mikkelin Urheilupuisto (Mikkeli)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Mikkelin Palloilijat		Ekenäs

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.42	3.2	2.65	Watch
	2.5	3.53	2.79
	2.51	3.44	2.66	Watch
	2.4	3.45	2.7
	2.36	3.3	2.61	Watch
	2.38	3.2	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.57)	3.35 ↓ (3.44)	2.67 ↑ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mikkelin Palloilijat
38%

Draw
27.5%

Ekenäs
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

26.8%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

26%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mikkelin Palloilijat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Ekenäs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mikkelin Palloilijat than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ekenäs than the current prediction. (+4%)

Mikkelin Palloilijat - Ekenäs Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Uronen J. (C) 6. Afshari T. 7. Chishima A. 19. Janhunen V. 87. Kastrati M. 24. Kawale R. 26. Kuek A. 16. Obioha S. 42. Ring A. 28. Tervaniemi A. 97. Traore A.	12. Mikkonen A. (G) 23. Bah S. 17. Etu F. 22. Kaleba T. 34. Kerrebijn R. 10. Lucas Kaufmann (C) 3. Maes D. 11. Mohammed N. 5. Pakkanen R. 8. Peltola A. 13. Sallinen O.
Substitutes
45. Atakayi S. 12. Kimari O. 8. Koivuniemi M. 4. Laiho V. 2. Sarkka S. 17. Seppanen S. 15. Stenius S. 1. Wilson S. (G) 10. Ylonen E.	19. Agbo D. 40. Hamdi M. 1. Heino O. (G) 29. Mohamed F. 24. Pelkonen N. 21. Sandbacka A. 18. Sivonen A.
Coaches
Ozeias Graciano	Lignell M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Etu F. ⚽,
20', Kastrati M. 🟨,
25', 0 - 2, Sallinen O. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Afshari T. ↓, Laiho V. ↑,
46', Kastrati M. ↓, Stenius S. ↑,
46', Tervaniemi A. ↓, Ylonen E. ↑,
57', Bah S. ↓, Mohamed F. ↑,
74', Sallinen O. ↓, Sivonen A. ↑,
77', Laiho V. 🟨,
78', Kawale R. ↓, Kimari O. ↑,
82', Peltola A. 🟨,
83', (Penalty Awarded),
85', Janhunen V. ↓, Atakayi S. ↑,
89', Mohammed N. ↓, Hamdi M. ↑,
90', Ring A. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mikkelin Palloilijat won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Mikkelin Palloilijat won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 12:24. (average 0.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Mikkelin Palloilijat won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 0.9:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Ekenas	25	8	5	12	29:37	-8	29
7	Mikkeli	25	8	5	12	27:35	-8	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mikkelin Palloilijat
Finnish Ykkosliiga
07.08.26	JäPS - Mikkelin Palloilijat	1:0 ✺
29.07.26	Mikkelin Palloilijat - KaPa	2:1 ✺
25.07.26	Mikkelin Palloilijat - KTP Kotka	3:3 ✺
15.07.26	JIPPO - Mikkelin Palloilijat	3:1 ✺
11.07.26	SJK Akatemia - Mikkelin Palloilijat	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWTLT
- Ekenäs IF
Finnish Ykkosliiga
08.08.26	KaPa - Ekenäs	0:1 ✺
31.07.26	Ekenäs - Klubi 04	2:0 ✺
25.07.26	SJK Akatemia - Ekenäs	0:0 ✺
18.07.26	Ekenäs - JäPS	0:1 ✺
11.07.26	Haka - Ekenäs	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkosliiga
06.06.26	Ekenäs - Mikkelin Palloilijat	1:0
31.05.26	Mikkelin Palloilijat - Ekenäs	1:0
Finnish Ykkonen
23.09.23	Mikkelin Palloilijat - Ekenäs	0:2
27.08.23	Ekenäs - Mikkelin Palloilijat	2:1
11.06.23	Mikkelin Palloilijat - Ekenäs	0:0
07.08.22	Mikkelin Palloilijat - Ekenäs	2:2
05.06.22	Ekenäs - Mikkelin Palloilijat	2:2

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