Match Info

LITHUANIA: I LYGA - ROUND 20

Date: 26 August 2023, Saturday

Location: Aukštaitijos stadionas (Panevėžys)


	Ekranas		Marijampolė City

	1	X	2
	1.03	17.19	32.25
	1.02	13.25	29
	1.07	8.4	21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.04 ↓ (1.37)	12.95 ↑ (4.58)	27.42 ↑ (6.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ekranas
89.4%

Draw
7.2%

Marijampolė City
3.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.4%

19.8%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.4%

18.9%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ekranas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ekranas's performance.

Marijampolė City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marijampolė City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ekranas than the current prediction. (-20%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ekranas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marijampolė City than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marijampolė City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Ekranas - Marijampolė City Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ekranas will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Marijampolė City will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 6 and 5).

Ekranas is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Marijampolė City is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ekranas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Ekranas have a series of guest games.

In this match Ekranas is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ekranas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ekranas
Lithuanian Division 2
18.08.23	Babrungas Plungė - Ekranas	3:1 ✺
12.08.23	Ekranas - BFA Vilnius	1:0 ✺
07.08.23	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Ekranas	2:2 ✺
28.07.23	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Ekranas	2:3 ✺
01.07.23	Panevėžys 2 - Ekranas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWTWW
- Marijampolė City
Lithuanian Division 2
21.08.23	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Marijampolė City	6:0 ✺
14.08.23	Panevėžys 2 - Marijampolė City	0:1 ✺
05.08.23	Marijampolė City - Garliava	1:3 ✺
29.07.23	Marijampolė City - FA Šiauliai B	0:5 ✺
01.07.23	Minija Kretinga - Marijampolė City	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
08.04.23	Marijampolė City - Ekranas	2:0
06.08.22	Marijampolė City - Ekranas	1:5

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