Match Info

I Lyga - Round 16

Date: 19 July 2026, Sunday


	Ekranas		BFA Vilnius

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.90	3.20	2.15
	3.05	3.20	2.08
	2.94	3.43	2.08
	2.96	3.45	2.15	Watch
	2.90	3.35	2.05
	2.82	3.68	2.20
	2.70	3.50	2.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (2.82)	3.4 ↑ (3.28)	2.12 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ekranas
31.1%

Draw
26.4%

BFA Vilnius
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

27.6%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

26.4%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ekranas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

BFA Vilnius has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ekranas than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BFA Vilnius than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Ekranas - BFA Vilnius Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
11', 0 - 1, Korvel L. ⚽,
28', 0 - 2, Misiunas D. ⚽,
41', 0 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 1 - 3, ⚽,
60', 🟥,
90', 1 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone I Lyga (Relegation) and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ekranas won 0.

Ekranas has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, BFA has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

BFA might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Ekranas won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:14. (average 0.6:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Ekranas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	BFA Vilnius	25	13	4	8	39:35	4	43
16	Ekranas	25	4	2	19	25:58	-33	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ekranas
Lithuanian Division 2
02.07.26	BFA Vilnius - Ekranas	3:0 ✺
27.06.26	Ekranas - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	1:2 ✺
20.06.26	Tauras Tauragė - Ekranas	2:1 ✺
05.06.26	Ekranas - Neptūnas	1:2 ✺
29.05.26	Dainava Alytus - Ekranas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- BFA Vilnius
Lithuanian Division 2
02.07.26	BFA Vilnius - Ekranas	3:0 ✺
28.06.26	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - BFA Vilnius	0:1 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
23.06.26	BFA Vilnius - Kauno Žalgiris	0:3 ✺
Lithuanian Division 2
20.06.26	BFA Vilnius - Hegelmann Litauen 2	0:1 ✺
13.06.26	Minija Kretinga - BFA Vilnius	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
02.07.26	BFA Vilnius - Ekranas	3:0
23.07.25	BFA Vilnius - Ekranas	1:0
09.03.25	Ekranas - BFA Vilnius	0:2
04.08.24	Ekranas - BFA Vilnius	1:1
09.03.24	BFA Vilnius - Ekranas	1:1
12.08.23	Ekranas - BFA Vilnius	1:0
26.03.23	BFA Vilnius - Ekranas	2:1

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