Match Info

LITHUANIA: I LYGA - ROUND 17

Date: 5 August 2023, Saturday


	Marijampolė City		Garliava

	1	X	2
				Watch
	46	10	1.05
	19.3	12.2	1.02
	32	14.25	1.02
	2.25	3.25	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	24.89 ↑ (1.93)	9.93 ↑ (3.46)	1.47 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marijampolė City
4.9%

Draw
12.3%

Garliava
82.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

26.4%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marijampolė City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-42.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marijampolė City's form might have worsened.

Garliava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+56.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Garliava's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	9.1%	63.6%

Marijampolė City - Garliava Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Marijampolė City will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Garliava will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Garliava: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 and 8).

In this match Garliava is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Marijampolė City won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Marijampolė City won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marijampolė City
Lithuanian Division 2
29.07.23	Marijampolė City - FA Šiauliai B	0:5 ✺
01.07.23	Minija Kretinga - Marijampolė City	3:2 ✺
10.06.23	Transinvest - Marijampolė City	3:1 ✺
04.06.23	Jonava - Marijampolė City	0:2 ✺
26.05.23	Neptūnas - Marijampolė City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLLWT
- FK Garliava
Lithuanian Division 2
29.07.23	Garliava - Babrungas Plungė	3:4 ✺
01.07.23	Garliava - BFA Vilnius	1:1 ✺
25.06.23	Ekranas - Garliava	1:0 ✺
10.06.23	Garliava - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	1:0 ✺
04.06.23	Panevėžys 2 - Garliava	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
18.03.23	Garliava - Marijampolė City	0:2
05.11.22	Marijampolė City - Garliava	0:1
02.07.22	Garliava - Marijampolė City	2:2

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