Match Info

CAF Confederation Cup - Round 4

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Complex Sportif Heremakono (Bamako)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Sports MENA 9
Australia	beIN Connect
France	beIN Sports MAX 8
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Indonesia	beIN SPORTS MAX
Malaysia	beIN SPORTS MAX
Mali	ORTM
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Philippines	beIN SPORTS MAX
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Thailand	beIN SPORTS MAX


	Djoliba		USM Alger

	1	X	2
	3.3	2.75	2.2
	3.25	2.82	2.32
	3.36	2.83	2.27
	4.33	1.35	9.75	Watch
	3.25	2.7	2.25
	3.55	2.96	2.37	Watch
	3.5	2.71	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↑ (3.02)	2.59 ↓ (3.16)	3.35 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Djoliba
29.4%

Draw
39.8%

USM Alger
30.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.6%

29.3%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

29%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Djoliba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

USM Alger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and USM Alger might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Djoliba than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for USM Alger than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that USM Alger could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Djoliba - USM Alger Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Djoliba will win (votes: 1 - 25%). USM Alger will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): USM Alger will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Kouassi W. (G) 3. Keita A. 29. Kanoute C. 35. Ouattara B. 20. Sangare Y. 13. Boubacar K. 18. Diarra A. (C) 12. Soumare A. 19. Kane B. 22. Toure F. 11. Sissoko M.	25. Benbot O. (G) 12. Loucif H. 13. Dehiri H. 4. Malone Junior C. 23. Chetti I. 8. Merili I. (C) 30. Tendeng A. 6. Draoui Z. 7. Khaldi A. 29. Kamagate D. 27. Ghacha H.
Substitutes
2. Camara M. 31. Dembele M. 25. Diabate S. 33. Diakite L. 4. Diarra B. 10. Glougbe K. 7. Sidibe A. 16. Solomane C. (G) 17. Tangara K.	3. Atmania S. 9. Benayad R. 14. Benzaza B. 24. Bouderbala M. 26. Boulares O. 22. Boutaoui M. 11. Likonza G. 19. Radouani S. 16. Soufi K. (G)
Coaches
Boudo M.	Benchikha A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Tendeng A. ↓, Likonza G. ↑,
65', Sissoko M. ↓, Tangara K. ↑,
65', Soumare A. ↓, Glougbe K. ↑,
68', Draoui Z. 🟨,
72', Merili I. ↓, Benzaza B. ↑,
72', Ghacha H. ↓, Benayad R. ↑,
76', Diarra A. ↓, Diabate S. ↑,
85', Toure F. ↓, Sidibe A. ↑,
85', Draoui Z. ↓, Atmania S. ↑,

Preview

Djoliba is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

USM Alger has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

USM Alger could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Djoliba won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Djoliba AC
CAF Confederation Cup
24.01.26	USM Alger - Djoliba	2:0 ✺
Malian Première Division
17.01.26	Djoliba - Bakaridjan	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	USFAS Bamako - Djoliba	0:1 ✺
04.01.26	Djoliba - Mali Coura	2:1 ✺
27.12.25	Bougouni - Djoliba	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWWWW
- USM Alger
CAF Confederation Cup
24.01.26	USM Alger - Djoliba	2:0 ✺
Algerian Super Cup
17.01.26	MC Alger - USM Alger	1:0 ✺
Algerian Cup
12.01.26	El Harrach - USM Alger	2:3 ET ✺
Algerian Ligue 1
08.01.26	USM Alger - Oran	1:1 ✺
27.12.25	Olympique Akbou - USM Alger	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

CAF Confederation Cup
24.01.26	USM Alger - Djoliba	2:0

Djoliba - USM Alger: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide