What is the expert prediction for USM Alger vs Olympic Safi?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for USM Alger vs Olympic Safi. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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USM Alger vs Olympic Safi Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Saturday, April 11, 2026)

Match Info

CAF Confederation Cup - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade du 5 Juillet (Algiers)

Referee: Omar A. M. (Egy)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 5, DStv Now
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Canada	beIN Connect
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Indonesia	beIN SPORTS MAX
Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Malaysia	beIN SPORTS MAX
Morocco	Al Aoula
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Philippines	beIN SPORTS MAX
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
South-africa	SABC Plus, SABC Sport, SuperSport Variety 3
Thailand	beIN SPORTS MAX
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz


	USM Alger		Olympic Safi

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.2	7
	1.56	3.4	7.4
	1.77	2.9	6.25	Watch
	1.53	3	6.5
	1.66	3.32	7.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.74)	3.16 ↑ (3.08)	6.88 ↑ (5.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

USM Alger
57.2%

Draw
29.3%

Olympic Safi
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

29.7%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

27.7%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

USM Alger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Olympic Safi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for USM Alger than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with USM Alger that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympic Safi than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Olympic Safi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. USM Alger will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Olympic Safi will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. USM Alger (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Benbot O. (G) 20. Mahrouz R. 4. Malone Junior C. 13. Dehiri H. 12. Loucif H. 8. Merili I. 14. Benzaza B. (C) 30. Tendeng A. 6. Draoui Z. 7. Khaldi A. 27. Ghacha H.	12. Hamiani H. (G) 32. Serbout I. 30. Mkhair A. 8. Karmoune F. 4. Ngoma F. 13. Ferhani H. 19. Najari Y. 29. El Bouchqali S. 6. El Moudane S. (C) 5. Errahouli S. 18. Khannouss I.
Substitutes
3. Atmania S. 9. Benayad R. 24. Bouderbala M. 26. Boulares O. 23. Chetti I. 29. Kamagate D. 11. Likonza G. 19. Radouani S. 16. Soufi K. (G)	3. Atik W. 21. Chemlal M. 22. Eddaou A. 17. El Houari A. 27. El Morsli S. 25. El Motie Y. (G) 24. Ezzine Y. 14. Kone M. 15. Kordani Y.
Coaches
N'Diyae L.	Khatoui C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Khaldi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Najari Y. ↓, Kone M. ↑,
65', Mahrouz R. ↓, Radouani S. ↑,
65', Benzaza B. ↓, Likonza G. ↑,
79', Merili I. 🟨,
81', Hamiani H. 🟥,
83', Errahouli S. ↓, El Motie Y. ↑,
85', Merili I. ↓, Kamagate D. ↑,
90', Khannouss I. 🟨,
90', Khannouss I. ↓, Kordani Y. ↑,
90+2', Tendeng A. ↓, Benayad R. ↑,
90+3', Ferhani H. 🟨,
90+10', El Motie Y. 🟨,
90+12', Karmoune F. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, USM Alger is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, USM Alger won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Including home match between the teams, USM Alger won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

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Last Results with these Odds

USM Alger - the odds 1.74 are the expected chance of winning is 52.56%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USM Alger
Algerian Ligue 1
05.04.26	ASO Chlef - USM Alger	2:1 ✺
01.04.26	MC Alger - USM Alger	1:0 ✺
25.03.26	USM Alger - Kabylie	0:1 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
22.03.26	USM Alger - Maniema Union	1:0 ✺
Algerian Ligue 1
18.03.26	USM Alger - ES Sétif	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLWW
- Olympic Safi
Moroccan Botola
04.04.26	Yacoub El Mansour - Olympic Safi	1:3 ✺
01.04.26	Olympic Safi - Berkane	1:1 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
22.03.26	Wydad Casablanca - Olympic Safi	2:2 ✺
15.03.26	Olympic Safi - Wydad Casablanca	1:1 ✺
Moroccan Botola
07.03.26	Raja Casablanca - Olympic Safi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.4 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

CAF Confederation Cup
14.02.26	USM Alger - Olympic Safi	0:0
28.11.25	Olympic Safi - USM Alger	0:1

USM Alger - Olympic Safi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide