Match Info

EGYPT: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 11

Date: 1 January 2024, Monday

Location: Police Academy Stadium (Cairo)

Referee: Othman M. (Egy)


	El Dakhleya		Al-Ittihad Alexandria

	1	X	2
	3.5	2.87	2
	3.6	3.1	2.1	Watch
	4.05	3.02	2.22
	4.05	3.02	2.14
	3.5	3.1	2
	3.75	3.22	2.04	Watch
	4.1	3	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.79 ↓ (4.01)	3.05 ↓ (3.23)	2.07 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Dakhleya
24.5%

Draw
30.5%

Al-Ittihad Alexandria
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.4%

29%

47.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

28.3%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Dakhleya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Al-Ittihad Alexandria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Dakhleya than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ittihad Alexandria than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

El Dakhleya - Al Ittihad Alexandria Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Al-Ittihad will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. El Zonfoly M. (G) 5. Atwa M. 15. Emad A. 17. Samir E. 27. Saber M. 20. Kyambadde A. 6. Hassouna M. 25. Chimezie K. 14. Yasser M. 31. Omotosho T. 30. Alfred F.	1. Soliman A. (G) 7. Saleh H. 5. Teka S. 30. Abou-Salima I. 24. Saleh A. 18. Salifu M. 10. El Ghandour K. 17. El Deeb K. 21. Mohamed A. 39. Aubame B. 27. Boateng B.
Substitutes
11. El Zahdi A. 35. El Zarif M. 19. Gharib A. 8. Hassan Hussien M. A. A. 1. Magdy M. (G) 12. Mansour M. 44. Marazik M. 23. Naguib M. 22. Shadad A.	28. Eid A. 11. El Henawy F. 12. El Wahsh O. 4. Ghoneim A. 37. Hassane A. 8. Naser N. 19. Omran R. 16. Salah O. (G) 6. Shabana M.
Coaches
Shaaban H.	El Ashri T.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches El Dakhleya won 1.

El Dakhleya is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Al-Ittihad Alexandria is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Al-Ittihad Alexandria will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 17 head-to-head matches El Dakhleya won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 16-17.

Including matches at home between the teams El Dakhleya won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- El Dakhleya
Egyptian Premier League
27.12.23	ZED - El Dakhleya	3:1 ✺
15.12.23	El Dakhleya - Smouha	0:0 ✺
06.12.23	El Mokawloon El Arab - El Dakhleya	0:0 ✺
01.12.23	El Dakhleya - Baladeyet El Mahalla	0:0 ✺
04.11.23	El Gouna - El Dakhleya	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LTTTL
- Al-Ittihad Alexandria
Egyptian Premier League
26.12.23	Al-Ittihad Alexandria - Pharco	3:1 ✺
FIFA Club World Cup
15.12.23	Al Ahly Cairo - Al-Ittihad Alexandria	3:1 ✺
12.12.23	Al-Ittihad Alexandria - Auckland City	3:0 ✺
Egyptian Premier League
30.11.23	Al-Ittihad Alexandria - ZED	0:0 ✺
03.11.23	Smouha - Al-Ittihad Alexandria	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Premier League
20.02.23	El Dakhleya - Al-Ittihad Alexandria	1:2
24.10.22	Al-Ittihad Alexandria - El Dakhleya	2:0
02.03.19	Al-Ittihad Alexandria - El Dakhleya	1:1
21.09.18	El Dakhleya - Al-Ittihad Alexandria	3:0
14.02.18	Al-Ittihad Alexandria - El Dakhleya	2:1
27.10.17	El Dakhleya - Al-Ittihad Alexandria	2:2
25.02.17	El Dakhleya - Al-Ittihad Alexandria	1:2

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