Match Info

EGYPT: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 9

Date: 15 December 2023, Friday


	El Dakhleya		Smouha

	1	X	2
	3.3	2.85	2.1
	3.6	2.95	2.15	Watch
	3.9	2.9	2.29
	3.9	2.86	2.28
	3.3	3.1	2.05
	3.58	3.2	2.08
	3.45	3.1	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↓ (4.18)	2.99 ↓ (3.23)	2.16 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Dakhleya
26%

Draw
31%

Smouha
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.4%

29%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2%

29.3%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Dakhleya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Smouha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Smouha might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Dakhleya than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smouha than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Smouha could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	83.3%	16.7%

El Dakhleya - Smouha Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Smouha will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. El Zonfoly M. (G) 5. Atwa M. 2. Yehia K. 9. Atef A. 27. Saber M. 20. Kyambadde A. 6. Hassouna M. 8. Hassan Hussien M. A. A. 17. Samir E. 14. Yasser M. 19. Gharib A.	1. Soliman E. (G) 12. Wahid M. 21. Mostafa M. 24. Alaa T. 15. Gaber I. 3. El Maghraby M. 16. Alaa H. 18. Hassan H. 9. Farid F. 28. Kalawa A. 10. Dahdouh L.
Substitutes
21. Ali A. 25. Chimezie K. 11. El Zahdi A. 1. Magdy M. (G) 12. Mansour M. 44. Marazik M. 23. Naguib M. 22. Shadad A. 13. Ziad T.	23. Ashraf M. (G) 36. Dodo D. 19. El Badry M. 7. Faisal H. 22. Khaled A. 8. Liadi A. 11. Reda S. 14. Said M. 26. Taimour H. (G)
Coaches
Shaaban H.	Samy A.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches El Dakhleya won 0.

El Dakhleya is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Smouha is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Smouha could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Smouha is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches El Dakhleya won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 9-18.

Including matches at home between the teams El Dakhleya won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 1-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- El Dakhleya
Egyptian Premier League
06.12.23	El Mokawloon El Arab - El Dakhleya	0:0 ✺
01.12.23	El Dakhleya - Baladeyet El Mahalla	0:0 ✺
04.11.23	El Gouna - El Dakhleya	2:0 ✺
30.10.23	El Dakhleya - Ismaily	0:0 ✺
20.10.23	Ceramica Cleopatra - El Dakhleya	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TTLTL
- Smouha SC
Egyptian Premier League
04.12.23	Smouha - Pharco	2:1 ✺
28.11.23	Al Ahly Cairo - Smouha	0:0 ✺
03.11.23	Smouha - Al-Ittihad Alexandria	0:1 ✺
28.10.23	ZED - Smouha	1:1 ✺
21.10.23	Zamalek - Smouha	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Premier League
09.04.23	Smouha - El Dakhleya	4:3
15.12.22	El Dakhleya - Smouha	0:0
19.04.19	El Dakhleya - Smouha	0:2
06.11.18	Smouha - El Dakhleya	1:1
21.04.18	Smouha - El Dakhleya	1:0
30.12.17	El Dakhleya - Smouha	0:0
03.05.17	Smouha - El Dakhleya	2:2

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