Match Info

Premier League - Relegation Group - Round 4

Date: 14 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Alexandria Stadium (Alexandria)

Where to Watch on TV:


Egypt	Kora Plus


	Al-Ittihad Alexandria		ZED

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.78	2.62	2.82	Watch
	2.99	2.59	3.09
	2.88	2.59	2.97
	2.9	2.45	2.9
	2.75	2.47	2.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↓ (3.15)	2.54 ↓ (2.62)	2.94 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Ittihad Alexandria
32.3%

Draw
36.3%

ZED
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

35.2%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

34.7%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Ittihad Alexandria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ZED has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ittihad Alexandria than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ZED than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	87.5%	12.5%

Al Ittihad Alexandria - ZED Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. ZED will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 64.6% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Genesh M. (G) 22. Body 24. Gouda A. 25. Emad M. 5. Ibrahim M. 27. Magdi A. 23. Isaac S. 11. Wahid Y. 17. El Deeb K. (C) 18. Ebuka J. 10. Afsha	1. Lotfi A. (C) 23. Alaa T. 24. Rabia M. 4. Fathy A. 5. Tarek A. 37. Magassa M. 88. Kabaka 18. Ahmed El Sageery 14. Messi 10. Hussein S. 11. Saad M.
Substitutes
4. Alaa M. 41. Canaria 33. Eid A. 9. Farid F. 90. Mabululu 14. Mohamed A. 99. Samir I. 1. Soliman S. (G) 13. Tony M.	17. Abdelrahman El Sakran 20. Alaa H. 22. Bah M. 25. El Sayed Z. 30. Gamal A. 15. Ibrahim S. 7. Khalil R. 16. Mazzika M. (G) 77. Saber M.
Coaches
Hamdi M.	Shawky M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Saad M. ⚽, Messi (A),
44', 1 - 1, Ebuka J. ⚽, Magdi A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Hussein S. ↓, Abdelrahman El Sakran ↑,
65', Magassa M. ↓, Khalil R. ↑,
65', Messi ↓, Saber M. ↑,
67', Wahid Y. ↓, Samir I. ↑,
76', Magdi A. ↓, Eid A. ↑,
76', Body ↓, Tony M. ↑,
84', Ebuka J. ↓, Mabululu ↑,
84', Emad M. ↓, Canaria ↑,
85', Saad M. ↓, Alaa H. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 1, Afsha ⚽, Tony M. (A),
90+3', Afsha 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Ittihad won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Al-Ittihad won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Ittihad won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Al Ittihad	5	3	1	1	6:3	3	10
10	ZED	5	2	1	2	4:5	-1	7

Last Results with these Odds

Al-Ittihad Alexandria - the odds 3.15 are the expected chance of winning is 29.33%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

ZED - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 35.43%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Ittihad Alexandria
Egyptian Premier League
09.04.26	Kahrabaa Ismailia - Al-Ittihad Alexandria	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	El Gouna - Al-Ittihad Alexandria	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	Al-Ittihad Alexandria - Pharco	1:1 ✺
06.03.26	Zamalek - Al-Ittihad Alexandria	1:0 ✺
02.03.26	Al-Ittihad Alexandria - Ghazl El Mahalla	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TTTLW
- ZED FC
Egyptian Premier League
09.04.26	Petrojet - ZED	2:1 ✺
06.04.26	ZED - El Mokawloon El Arab	0:0 ✺
Egyptian League Cup
30.03.26	El Mokawloon El Arab - ZED	1:1 ✺
26.03.26	ZED - El Mokawloon El Arab	0:0 ✺
Egyptian Premier League
22.03.26	ZED - Tala`ea El-Gaish	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian League Cup
06.01.26	Al-Ittihad Alexandria - ZED	1:1
Egyptian Premier League
22.09.25	ZED - Al-Ittihad Alexandria	1:0
06.05.25	ZED - Al-Ittihad Alexandria	0:0
11.01.25	Al-Ittihad Alexandria - ZED	0:1
20.05.24	ZED - Al-Ittihad Alexandria	0:0
30.11.23	Al-Ittihad Alexandria - ZED	0:0
11.09.20	ZED - Al-Ittihad Alexandria	2:2

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