Match Info

Premier League - Round 14

Date: 11 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Suez Canal Stadium (Ismailia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Egypt	Kora Plus


	Zamalek		Smouha

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.18	2.72	3.7	Watch
	2.23	2.82	4.1
	2.24	2.72	3.9	Watch
	2.15	2.7	3.8
	2.17	2.89	3.82
	2.1	2.75	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.05)	2.77 ↓ (2.9)	3.89 ↓ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zamalek
42.6%

Draw
33.5%

Smouha
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

32%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

30.8%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zamalek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Smouha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zamalek than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Smouha than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	28.6%	0%

Zamalek - Smouha Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Zamalek will win (votes: 15 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zamalek: 56% – 94%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Smouha (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Zamalek (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Zamalek (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Zamalek will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Zamalek (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Smouha (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
37. Soliman E. M. (G) 52. Hassan M. I. 28. El Wensh Mahmoud (C) 5. Abdelmaguid H. 11. Esho 43. Osama E. 17. Shehata M. 39. El Sayed M. 81. Banza C. 30. Jaziri S. 33. Juan Alvina	28. Mayhoub A. (G) 21. Mostafa M. 24. Ragab M. 4. Gomaa M. 6. Amer A. (C) 8. Fekri S. 7. Naguib A. 35. Fawzi A. 23. Amadi S. 10. El Ghandour K. 9. Ashraf H.
Substitutes
46. Badawy M. (G) 98. Dabbagh O. 19. El Said A. 4. Gaber O. 24. Ismail M. 97. Khodary A. 9. Mansy N. 12. Rabie A. 44. Wael Y.	12. Afifi Y. 27. Balaha H. 19. Fathi E. 2. Hafez H. 30. Hassan A. 14. Juhayna 15. Samadou A. 1. Soliman E. (G) 33. Yehia A.
Coaches
Gamal M.	Abdelaziz A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Gomaa M. 🟨,
36', El Sayed M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Hassan M. I. ↓, Ismail M. ↑,
61', Jaziri S. ↓, Dabbagh O. ↑,
61', Banza C. ↓, Mansy N. ↑,
65', Amadi S. ↓, Balaha H. ↑,
65', Ashraf H. ↓, Yehia A. ↑,
68', El Sayed M. ↓, El Said A. ↑,
77', 1 - 0, Mansy N. ⚽, Juan Alvina (A),
79', Naguib A. ↓, Samadou A. ↑,
79', Ragab M. ↓, Hafez H. ↑,
84', El Ghandour K. ↓, Juhayna ↑,
85', Juan Alvina ↓, Khodary A. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zamalek won 3.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Smouha may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Zamalek is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zamalek won 14 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 34:15. (average 1.7:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Zamalek won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 19:6. (average 1.9:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Zamalek	5	4	1	0	8:1	7	13
16	Smouha	5	1	1	3	1:4	-3	4

Last Results with these Odds

Zamalek - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 45.29%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zamalek
CAF Confederation Cup
08.02.26	ZESCO United - Zamalek	1:0 ✺
Egyptian Premier League
04.02.26	Kahrabaa Ismailia - Zamalek	2:5 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
01.02.26	Al Masry - Zamalek	1:2 ✺
Egyptian Premier League
28.01.26	Zamalek - Petrojet	2:0 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
25.01.26	Zamalek - Al Masry	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWWWT
- Smouha SC
Egyptian Premier League
04.02.26	Smouha - Pyramids	2:1 ✺
29.01.26	ENPPI - Smouha	1:2 ✺
21.01.26	Smouha - Pharco	2:0 ✺
Egyptian League Cup
11.01.26	Smouha - Haras El-Hodood	1:0 ✺
Egyptian Cup
08.01.26	Haras El-Hodood - Smouha	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian League Cup
25.12.25	Zamalek - Smouha	0:1
16.04.25	Smouha - Zamalek	0:1
Egyptian Cup
15.03.25	Zamalek - Smouha	4:2
Egyptian Premier League
08.11.24	Smouha - Zamalek	0:2
05.05.24	Smouha - Zamalek	1:0
21.10.23	Zamalek - Smouha	5:1
13.02.23	Smouha - Zamalek	1:3

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