The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Smouha 47.2%
Draw 32.6%
Pharco 20.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.2%
28.3%
15.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.1%
27.4%
15%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Smouha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Smouha's form might have worsened.
Pharco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smouha than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Smouha, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pharco than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pharco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
20%
5%
Smouha - Pharco Predictions
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Smouha will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Pharco will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Smouha: 53.9% โ 93.5%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Smouha will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Gold Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
28. Mayhoub A. (G) 11. Reda S. 24. Ragab M. 2. Hafez H. 6. Amer A. 10. El Ghandour K. 66. Mohamed K. 20. Badji P. 8. Fekri S. 7. El Sisi A. 9. Ashraf H.
25. Shika M. (G) 33. Ndiaye B. 6. Kamel G. 70. Fathy M. 31. Ahmed M. 22. Ezz M. 32. Badara A. 13. El Mallah Y. 11. Mostafa W. 9. Farhat M. 39. Galal Y.
Substitutes
12. Afifi Y. 16. Amankona S. 19. Fathi E. 35. Fawzi A. 30. Hassan A. 14. Juhayna 21. Mostafa M. 1. Soliman E. (G) 33. Yehia A.
90. Al Danin S. 16. Daador A. (G) 7. El Tayeb K. 27. Emam S. 10. Fouad A. 18. Mohamed Youssef Camacho 57. Reda H. 23. Sayed M.
Coaches
Abdelaziz A.
Khattab A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
34', Abdelaziz A. 🟨,
38', Ragab M. 🟨,
38', El Sisi A. 🟨,
42', Kamel G. 🟨,
45+2', Badara A. 🟨,
45+7', 1 - 0, El Ghandour K. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fathy M. ↓, Mohamed Youssef Camacho ↑,
46', Ashraf H. ↓, Mostafa M. ↑,
59', Ezz M. ↓, Fouad A. ↑,
59', El Mallah Y. ↓, El Tayeb K. ↑,
69', 2 - 0, Mostafa M. ⚽, Reda S. (A),
81', Mostafa W. ↓, Gaber M. ↑,
83', Reda S. ↓, Fathi E. ↑,
83', Mohamed K. ↓, Amankona S. ↑,
84', El Tayeb K. 🟨,
90', Galal Y. ↓, Sayed M. ↑,
90+2', Badji P. ↓, Fawzi A. ↑,
90+6', Ahmed M. 🟨,
90+6', Fekri S. ↓, Juhayna ↑,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 16 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Smouha won 1.
Smouha has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Pharco has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
In this match, Smouha is the team to beat.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Smouha won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.6:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Smouha won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
Egypt
Watch
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Mayhoub A. (G) 
Mohamed K. 
Badji P. 
Amankona S. 
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