Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 11

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday


	Mancha Real		Martos

	1	X	2
	1.95	3	3.75
	2	3.02	3.92
	1.99	3	3.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2)	3.01 ↑ (2.99)	3.81 ↓ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mancha Real
45.9%

Draw
30.2%

Martos
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

30.5%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

29.2%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mancha Real has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Martos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mancha Real than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martos than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Mancha Real - Martos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Elady ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Mancha Real could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mancha Real won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Mancha Real won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1.5:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Mancha Real
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
08.11.25	Mijas-Las Lagunas - Mancha Real	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Mancha Real - Marbellí	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	Mancha Real - Motril	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Arenas Armilla - Mancha Real	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Torreperogil - Mancha Real	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLLTT
- Martos CD
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
08.11.25	Martos - Arenas Armilla	0:2 ✺
02.11.25	Churriana de la Vega - Martos	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Martos - Torreperogil	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Atlético Porcuna - Martos	4:1 ✺
11.10.25	Martos - Torre Del Mar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
19.01.25	Mancha Real - Martos	0:2
08.09.24	Martos - Mancha Real	0:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
13.09.17	Mancha Real - Martos	3:4

Mancha Real - Martos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide