Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 31

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	WebDirecto


	Mancha Real		Huétor Vega

	1	X	2
	2.02	2.82	3.8
	2	2.81	3.79
	1.04	10.71	25.00	Watch
	2.05	2.8	3.6
	2.03	2.86	3.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.35)	4.4 ↑ (2.92)	8.01 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mancha Real
60.8%

Draw
25.3%

Huétor Vega
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mancha Real has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mancha Real's performance.

Huétor Vega has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Huétor Vega might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mancha Real than the current prediction. (-22.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mancha Real that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huétor Vega than the current prediction. (+16.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Huétor Vega could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mancha Real - Huétor Vega Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mancha Real won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Mancha Real may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Mancha Real won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Mancha Real won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Huetor Vega	5	1	2	2	7:9	-2	5
17	Mancha	5	0	2	3	2:7	-5	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Mancha Real
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
11.04.26	Huétor Tájar - Mancha Real	2:1 ✺
05.04.26	Mancha Real - Melilla B	0:0 ✺
01.04.26	Atlético Porcuna - Mancha Real	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	Martos - Mancha Real	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Mancha Real - Mijas-Las Lagunas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LTTWW
- Huétor Vega CD
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
12.04.26	Huétor Vega - Arenas Armilla	1:1 ✺
05.04.26	Churriana de la Vega - Huétor Vega	1:4 ✺
29.03.26	Huétor Vega - Torreperogil	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Atlético Porcuna - Huétor Vega	2:2 ✺
15.03.26	Huétor Vega - Torre Del Mar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
14.12.25	Huétor Vega - Mancha Real	1:0
16.02.25	Mancha Real - Huétor Vega	1:2
06.10.24	Huétor Vega - Mancha Real	1:0
10.03.24	Huétor Vega - Mancha Real	3:1
29.10.23	Mancha Real - Huétor Vega	0:2
14.03.21	Huétor Vega - Mancha Real	0:1

Mancha Real - Huétor Vega: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide