Match Info

Date: 17 May 2022, Tuesday

Location: Cairo International Stadium (Cairo)


	El Gouna		Misr El-Makasa

	1	X	2
	1.93	2.95	3.9
	1.93	3	4
	1.96	2.95	3.9
	1.98	3.24	4.3
	1.95	3.1	3.75
	2.03	3.35	3.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.58)	3.1 ↓ (3.58)	3.91 ↓ (5.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Gouna
46.8%

Draw
29.7%

Misr El-Makasa
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

25.6%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

25.2%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Gouna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that El Gouna's form might have worsened.

Misr El-Makasa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Misr El-Makasa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Gouna than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for El Gouna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Misr El-Makasa than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Misr El-Makasa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31%	24.1%	44.8%

El Gouna - Misr El Makasa Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. El Gouna will win (votes: 9 - 31%). Misr El-Makasa will win (votes: 13 - 44.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 24.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Misr El-Makasa: 26.7% – 62.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches El Gouna won 2.

El Gouna is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Misr El-Makasa has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

El Gouna will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches El Gouna won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-8.

Including matches at home between the teams El Gouna won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- El Gouna
Egyptian Premier League
10.05.22	Ceramica Cleopatra - El Gouna	3:2 ✺
01.05.22	El Gouna - Pyramids	1:2 ✺
25.04.22	Modern Sport - El Gouna	3:2 ✺
20.04.22	El Gouna - Smouha	1:0 ✺
15.04.22	Ghazl El Mahalla - El Gouna	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLLWL
- Misr El-Makasa
Egyptian Premier League
11.05.22	Misr El-Makasa - Pyramids	0:2 ✺
29.04.22	Misr El-Makasa - Modern Sport	0:3 ✺
25.04.22	Smouha - Misr El-Makasa	1:0 ✺
18.04.22	Misr El-Makasa - Ghazl El Mahalla	0:1 ✺
14.04.22	El Mokawloon El Arab - Misr El-Makasa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Premier League
31.10.21	Misr El-Makasa - El Gouna	2:0
15.05.21	Misr El-Makasa - El Gouna	1:0
30.12.20	El Gouna - Misr El-Makasa	1:0
18.08.20	Misr El-Makasa - El Gouna	1:0
06.10.19	El Gouna - Misr El-Makasa	1:0
31.03.19	Misr El-Makasa - El Gouna	0:0
06.10.18	El Gouna - Misr El-Makasa	0:0

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