The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ghazl El Mahalla 26.7%
Draw 38.6%
El Gouna 34.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.6%
35.6%
33.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.3%
36.5%
33%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ghazl El Mahalla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
El Gouna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ghazl El Mahalla than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Gouna than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
11.1%
77.8%
11.1%
Ghazl El Mahalla - El Gouna Predictions
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Ghazl El Mahalla will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). El Gouna will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 58.6% โ 97%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - El Gouna (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. El Gouna (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Amer M. (C) 24. Amoory A. 3. El Aash A. 4. Shousha A. 12. Zakaria Y. 17. Bolbol M. 20. Toure M. 7. Ashraf M. 90. Mwanga J. 41. Saidi K. 42. Salah M.
23. Alaa M. (G) 3. Khaled A. 4. Abdel Rasoul Ahmed 5. El Shimi S. 2. Taalab A. 13. El Gazar O. 14. El Sayed N. (C) 6. Ibrahim H. 17. Gamal A. 22. El Nahas M. 30. Emad M.
Substitutes
19. Armoosha 18. El Arabi A. (G) 32. El Azab Y. 37. El Moghzi M. 28. Ineza A. 11. Magdy A. 13. Oufa M. 10. Walid B. 44. Yasser A.
20. Belia A. 24. El Zahdi A. 10. Mahmoud M. 1. Masoud A. (G) 28. Metawea M. 9. Mohsen M. 29. Ojo T. 8. Salah R. 36. Turay A.
Coaches
Abdelaal A.
Mostafa A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
25', El Sayed N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Emad M. ↓, Metawea M. ↑,
46', El Sayed N. ↓, Salah R. ↑,
57', Toure M. ↓, El Azab Y. ↑,
57', Ashraf M. ↓, Walid B. ↑,
66', Saidi K. ↓, Ineza A. ↑,
67', Ibrahim H. 🟨,
68', El Gazar O. ↓, Mahmoud M. ↑,
70', Zakaria Y. 🟨,
76', 1 - 0, El Aash A. ⚽,
77', Gamal A. ↓, Ojo T. ↑,
80', Bolbol M. 🟨,
83', El Nahas M. ↓, Mohsen M. ↑,
87', Bolbol M. ↓, Yasser A. ↑,
87', Mwanga J. ↓, El Moghzi M. ↑,
90+6', Metawea M. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ghazl El Mahalla won 2.
Ghazl El Mahalla has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
El Gouna's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Ghazl El Mahalla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Ghazl El Mahalla won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.4:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Ghazl El Mahalla won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
18
El Gouna
5
0
2
3
3:6
-3
2
20
Ghazl El Mahallah
5
0
1
4
1:9
-8
1
Last Results with these Odds
Ghazl El Mahalla - the odds 3.04 are the expected chance of winning is 30.58%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
Egypt
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Amer M. (C) 
Toure M. 
Mwanga J. 
Saidi K. 
Ibrahim H. 
Ineza A. 
Ojo T. 
Turay A. 
