Match Info

Premier League - Round 7

Date: 19 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Khaled Bichara Stadium (El Gouna) 🌤️ ...


	El Gouna		Smouha

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.75	2.70	2.05
	3.7	2.72	2.15	Watch
	4.42	2.85	2.2
	4.09	2.74	2.18	Watch
	4.3	2.7	2.13
	4.23	2.65	2.03
	3.7	2.75	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.03 ↑ (3.85)	2.73 ↑ (2.65)	2.13 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Gouna
22.9%

Draw
33.8%

Smouha
43.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

24.1%

35%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

33.4%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Gouna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Smouha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Gouna than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Smouha than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

El Gouna - Smouha Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Smouha will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Emad I. (G) 20. Belia A. 44. Turay A. 5. El Shimi S. 28. Metawea M. 22. Reda M. 14. El Sayed N. (C) 30. Shaaban A. 42. Egbemba M. 74. Zizo 9. Mohsen M.	28. Mayhoub A. (G) 30. Gamal A. 24. Ragab M. 3. Desouki M. 21. Mohamed A. 66. Mohamed K. 11. Farouk M. 8. Fekri S. 10. El Ghandour K. 14. Makarona (C) 20. Badji P.
Substitutes
4. Abou-Salima I. 13. El Gazar O. 24. El Zahdi A. 34. Essam M. 70. Gamal A. 1. Masoud A. (G) 90. Parfait Teukeu W. 27. Zayed S. 32. Zazaa I.	19. Adel M. 6. Amer A. 29. Chukwudi G. 7. El Sisi A. 23. Farid F. 2. Hafez H. 13. Niyigena C. 15. Samadou A. 1. Taimour H. (G)
Coaches
Mostafa A.	Abdelaziz A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', El Shimi S. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Reda M. ↓, Essam M. ↑,
49', Farouk M. 🟨,
59', Farouk M. ↓, Samadou A. ↑,
68', Egbemba M. ↓, El Gazar O. ↑,
68', Zizo ↓, Parfait Teukeu W. ↑,
70', El Ghandour K. ↓, Chukwudi G. ↑,
70', Makarona ↓, Farid F. ↑,
75', Shaaban A. ↓, Abou-Salima I. ↑,
76', Mohsen M. 🟨,
82', 0 - 1, Badji P. ⚽, Farid F. (A),
83', Gamal A. ↓, Hafez H. ↑,
83', Mohamed A. ↓, Amer A. ↑,
86', 0 - 2, Farid F. ⚽, Amer A. (A),
88', Mohsen M. ↓, Gamal A. ↑,

Preview

A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 19th in the Promotion - Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 13th in the Promotion - Premier League (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Gouna won 3.

El Gouna has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Performances by Smouha have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Smouha could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Smouha holding a narrow advantage.

Our forecast points to a victory for Smouha in today's match, at odds of 2.22.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, El Gouna has recorded 5 wins, 9 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:20 (averaging 1:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for El Gouna against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with 9:9 goals (averaging 0.9:0.9 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Smouha	7	3	1	3	4:4	0	10
20	El Gouna	7	0	2	5	4:10	-6	2

Last Results with these Odds

El Gouna - the odds 3.85 are the expected chance of winning is 24.1%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.

Smouha - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 40.88%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- El Gouna
Egyptian Premier League
13.10.26	Al-Ittihad Alexandria - El Gouna	2:1 ✺
Egyptian League Cup
08.10.26	El Mokawloon El Arab - El Gouna	2:0 ✺
Egyptian Premier League
16.09.26	El Gouna - Petrojet	1:2 ✺
09.09.26	Pyramids - El Gouna	1:0 ✺
02.09.26	El Gouna - El Mokawloon El Arab	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Smouha SC
Egyptian Premier League
12.10.26	Smouha - Ghazl El Mahalla	1:0 ✺
14.09.26	Tala`ea El-Gaish - Smouha	0:1 ✺
08.09.26	Smouha - Ceramica Cleopatra	0:2 ✺
03.09.26	Al Ahly Cairo - Smouha	1:0 ✺
26.08.26	Smouha - Asyut Petroleum	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Premier League
27.10.25	Smouha - El Gouna	0:1
28.04.25	El Gouna - Smouha	1:1
Egyptian League Cup
11.12.24	El Gouna - Smouha	1:0
Egyptian Premier League
01.12.24	Smouha - El Gouna	0:0
17.04.24	El Gouna - Smouha	1:0
20.09.23	Smouha - El Gouna	1:1
23.08.22	Smouha - El Gouna	2:2

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