Match Info

Premier League - Round 20

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Borg El Arab Stadium (Alexandria)

Where to Watch on TV:


Egypt	Kora Plus


	Ismaily		El Gouna

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.05	2.62	2.58	Watch
	3.37	2.59	2.66
	3.24	2.6	2.65	Watch
	3.2	2.5	2.5
	3.25	2.75	2.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↑ (2.95)	2.61 ↓ (2.76)	2.58 ↓ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ismaily
28.7%

Draw
35.4%

El Gouna
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

33.6%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

32.3%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ismaily has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

El Gouna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ismaily than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Gouna than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	75%	25%

Ismaily - El Gouna Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. El Gouna will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Gamal A. (G) 5. Mohamed A. 2. Nasr M. 23. Ayman A. 34. Shehata K. 88. Samir M. 17. Wagdi M. 6. Hassan M. (C) 8. Traore E. 15. Farag N. 7. Al Nabris K.	23. Alaa M. (G) 2. Taalab A. 5. El Shimi S. 4. Abdel Rasoul Ahmed 3. Khaled A. 14. El Sayed N. (C) 29. Ojo T. 6. Ibrahim H. 13. El Gazar O. 24. El Zahdi A. 22. El Nahas M.
Substitutes
37. Abdelaal I. 40. Abdelsalam A. 38. El Nagaawy I. 9. Hamdi M. 44. Hassan A. 32. Khatary M. 13. Mahrous A. (G) 14. Mohamed Sukar H. 10. Samiae M.	25. El Said A. 19. El Sayed B. 17. Gamal A. 30. Imad M. 10. Mahmoud M. 1. Masoud A. (G) 28. Metawea M. 8. Salah R. 36. Turay A.
Coaches
El Ashri T.	Bebo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', El Shimi S. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Shehata K. (Penalty Awarded),
27', Ayman A. ↓, El Nagaawy I. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', Samir M. ↓, Abdelaal I. ↑,
51', Wagdi M. ↓, Hamdi M. ↑,
53', El Zahdi A. ↓, El Sayed B. ↑,
53', Ojo T. ↓, Imad M. ↑,
64', Taalab A. 🟨,
67', Khaled A. 🟨,
68', Taalab A. ↓, Gamal A. ↑,
80', El Sayed B. 🟨,
88', 1 - 1, El Shimi S. ⚽,
90+4', 1 - 2, El Sayed N. (Penalty Awarded),
90+7', El Sayed N. ↓, Salah R. ↑,
90+7', Khaled A. ↓, Metawea M. ↑,
90+7', Hassan M. ↓, Abdelsalam A. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 13 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ismaily won 1.

Ismaily is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

El Gouna is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Ismaily won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:16. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ismaily won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.8:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	El Gouna	5	0	2	3	3:6	-3	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ismaily SC
Egyptian Premier League
24.02.26	Ceramica Cleopatra - Ismaily	1:1 ✺
20.02.26	Ismaily - Wadi Degla	1:2 ✺
11.02.26	Al Ahly Cairo - Ismaily	2:0 ✺
29.01.26	Modern Sport - Ismaily	1:0 ✺
22.01.26	Ismaily - El Mokawloon El Arab	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TLLLL
- El Gouna
Egyptian Premier League
23.02.26	El Gouna - El Mokawloon El Arab	1:1 ✺
19.02.26	Al Ahly Cairo - El Gouna	1:0 ✺
06.02.26	El Gouna - Modern Sport	1:1 ✺
28.01.26	Pyramids - El Gouna	1:1 ✺
Egyptian Cup
20.01.26	El Gouna - Pyramids	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian League Cup
10.12.25	Ismaily - El Gouna	1:3
Egyptian Premier League
25.05.25	Ismaily - El Gouna	3:0
12.02.25	El Gouna - Ismaily	2:0
22.07.24	Ismaily - El Gouna	1:1
26.02.24	El Gouna - Ismaily	0:0
28.07.22	El Gouna - Ismaily	0:3
23.02.22	Ismaily - El Gouna	0:1

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