Match Info

TUNISIA: Ligue 2 - Round 11

Date: 24 December 2024, Tuesday


	Oued Ellil		Ariana

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.2	4.5
	1.72	3.35	4.5
	1.67	3.41	4.55
	1.69	3.55	4.68	Watch
	1.67	3.25	4.5
	1.77	3.18	4.58
	1.72	3.35	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.84)	3.33 ↑ (3.23)	4.54 ↑ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oued Ellil
52.9%

Draw
27.2%

Ariana
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

28.2%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

28.7%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oued Ellil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Ariana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oued Ellil than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ariana than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	14.3%	57.1%

Oued Ellil - Ariana Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Oued Ellil will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Ariana will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 3)
20', 0 - 1, Zaghdoud W. ⚽,
36', 0 - 2, Jouini H. ⚽,
41', 0 - 3, Zaghdoud W. ⚽,
45+3', 1 - 3, Barrani W. ⚽,
45+4', 2 - 3, Idrissi M. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
70', 2 - 4, Zaghdoud W. (Pen),
74', Mahmoud Langliz 🟥,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 and 8).

Oued Ellil is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ariana is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Oued Ellil is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Oued Ellil won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0 (average 1.5:0).

Including matches at home between the teams Oued Ellil won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0 (average 1.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Oued Ellil
Tunisian Ligue 2
20.12.24	Hammam-Lif - Oued Ellil	3:2 ✺
14.12.24	Oued Ellil - Radès	2:2 ✺
07.12.24	Oued Ellil - Korba	0:0 ✺
01.12.24	Msaken - Oued Ellil	1:1 ✺
24.11.24	Mégrine - Oued Ellil	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LTTTL
- AS Ariana
Tunisian Ligue 2
20.12.24	Ariana - Moknine	2:0 ✺
14.12.24	Jendouba Sport - Ariana	2:1 ✺
07.12.24	Ariana - Marsa	2:1 ✺
23.11.24	Ariana - Radès	1:0 ✺
17.11.24	Hammam-Lif - Ariana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Ligue 2
25.11.23	Oued Ellil - Ariana	1:0
23.02.19	Oued Ellil - Ariana	2:0

Oued Ellil - Ariana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide