Match Info

Premier League - Round 12

Date: 27 October 2025, Monday

Location: Alexandria Stadium (Alexandria)

Where to Watch on TV:


Egypt	Kora Plus


	Smouha		El Gouna

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	2.72	3.95
	2.19	2.79	4.38
	2.18	2.67	4.10	Watch
	2.11	2.7	4.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.18)	2.72 ↑ (2.67)	4.17 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Smouha
43.3%

Draw
34.3%

El Gouna
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

34.8%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

34%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Smouha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

El Gouna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smouha than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Gouna than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Smouha - El Gouna Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Smouha will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Smouha (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Mayhoub A. (G) 2. Hafez H. 24. Ragab M. 4. Dabash M. 6. Amer A. 15. Samadou A. 23. Amadi S. 35. Fawzi A. 8. Fekri S. 7. El Sisi A. 9. Ashraf H.	23. Alaa M. (G) 2. Taalab A. 5. El Shimi S. 36. Turay A. 3. Khaled A. 14. El Sayed N. (C) 12. Hassouna M. 24. El Zahdi A. 10. Mahmoud M. 30. Emad M. 22. El Nahas M.
Substitutes
20. Badji P. 10. El Ghandour K. 30. Hassan A. 14. Juhayna 22. Khaled A. 21. Mostafa M. 11. Reda S. 1. Soliman E. (G) 33. Yehia A.	4. Abdel Rasoul Ahmed 20. Belia A. 25. El Said A. 19. El Sayed B. 17. Gamal A. 18. Jatta A. 90. Karim A. 1. Masoud A. (G) 29. Ojo T.
Coaches
Abdelaziz A.	Mostafa A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Samadou A. 🟨,
30', Hassouna M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Fekri S. ↓, Yehia A. ↑,
46', Samadou A. ↓, El Ghandour K. ↑,
64', El Zahdi A. ↓, Gamal A. ↑,
70', Fawzi A. ↓, Badji P. ↑,
71', Mahmoud M. ↓, El Sayed B. ↑,
74', Taalab A. ↓, Belia A. ↑,
74', Emad M. ↓, Ojo T. ↑,
80', 0 - 1, El Nahas M. ⚽, Gamal A. (A),
89', Ashraf H. (Pen),
90', Ragab M. ↓, Mostafa M. ↑,
90', Badji P. ↓, Reda S. ↑,
90+1', Amadi S. 🟥,
90+6', Mostafa M. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Smouha won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

El Gouna may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Smouha could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Smouha won 6 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 1.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Smouha won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Smouha SC
Egyptian Premier League
22.10.25	Al Masry - Smouha	0:0 ✺
03.10.25	Smouha - Ismaily	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Wadi Degla - Smouha	1:1 ✺
19.09.25	Smouha - Haras El-Hodood	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Ceramica Cleopatra - Smouha	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TWTWL
- El Gouna
Egyptian Premier League
18.10.25	El Gouna - National Bank of Egypt	0:3 ✺
04.10.25	Tala`ea El-Gaish - El Gouna	0:1 ✺
29.09.25	El Gouna - Ceramica Cleopatra	1:1 ✺
23.09.25	Zamalek - El Gouna	1:1 ✺
17.09.25	El Gouna - Petrojet	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 LWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Premier League
28.04.25	El Gouna - Smouha	1:1
Egyptian League Cup
11.12.24	El Gouna - Smouha	1:0
Egyptian Premier League
01.12.24	Smouha - El Gouna	0:0
17.04.24	El Gouna - Smouha	1:0
20.09.23	Smouha - El Gouna	1:1
23.08.22	Smouha - El Gouna	2:2
20.04.22	El Gouna - Smouha	1:0

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