Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 21Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
El Palo |
|
Mijas-Las Lagunas |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
4.25 |
3.25 |
1.75 |
|
 |
4.39 |
3.18 |
1.79 |
|
 |
1.14 |
5.90 |
25.00 |
 Watch |
 |
4.2 |
3.1 |
1.8 |
|
 |
4.5 |
3.18 |
1.77 |
|
 |
4.2 |
3.4 |
1.75 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.78 ↓
(4.2) |
3.67 ↑
(3.4) |
5.64 ↑
(1.75) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
El Palo
37% | Draw
38.2% | Mijas-Las Lagunas
24.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Palo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in El Palo's performance.Mijas-Las Lagunas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-27%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mijas-Las Lagunas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Palo than the current prediction. (-15.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with El Palo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mijas-Las Lagunas than the current prediction. (+27.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mijas-Las Lagunas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.El Palo - Mijas Las Lagunas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 45', 1 - 0, Camacho A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 56', Wagner R. 🟥,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).In recent matches, El Palo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).Mijas-Las Lagunas is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).El Palo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Mijas-Las Lagunas is the team to beat.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, El Palo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).Including home match between the teams, El Palo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9 | | | 28.09.25 | Mijas-Las Lagunas - El Palo | 0:0 | | 30.03.25 | Mijas-Las Lagunas - El Palo | 4:1 | | 17.11.24 | El Palo - Mijas-Las Lagunas | 1:3 |
|
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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