Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 20Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday
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Marbellí |
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El Palo |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.58 |
3.4 |
5.5 |
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1.45 |
3.83 |
7.27 |
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1.6 |
3.46 |
5.82 |
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1.44 |
3.5 |
7 |
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1.42 |
3.72 |
7.75 |
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1.42 |
3.75 |
7.5 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↓
(1.51) |
3.61 ↑
(3.6) |
6.81 ↑
(6.07) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Marbellí
61.4% | Draw
25.2% | El Palo
13.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marbellí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)El Palo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)The ML Model estimate for Marbellí aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Palo than the current prediction. (+1.1%)Marbellí - El Palo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 18', 0 - 1, Manzano R. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 89', 1 - 1, Corral Tapia M. ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 17 in the zone Relegation).Marbellí is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).El Palo is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). In this match, Marbellí is considered a favorite.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Marbellí won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).Including home match between the teams, Marbellí won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 2 | Marbelli | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 13 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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