Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 4

Date: 24 September 2023, Sunday


	El Palo		Orihuela

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.95	3.4	Watch
	2.16	2.85	3.77
	2.11	2.94	3.48
	2.13	2.95	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.04)	2.92 ↓ (3.1)	3.51 ↓ (3.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Palo
42.5%

Draw
31.4%

Orihuela
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

29.9%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

26.8%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Palo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Orihuela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Palo than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orihuela than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

El Palo - Orihuela Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

El Palo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Orihuela has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently El Palo have a series of guest games.

Recently Orihuela have a series of home games.

El Palo will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD El Palo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
17.09.23	Marbella - El Palo	1:0 ✺
10.09.23	UCAM Murcia - El Palo	1:0 ✺
03.09.23	El Palo - Vélez	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
19.08.23	Águilas - El Palo	1:1 ✺
16.08.23	UCAM Murcia - El Palo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLTTT
- Orihuela CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
17.09.23	Orihuela - UCAM Murcia	1:1 ✺
10.09.23	Vélez - Orihuela	2:0 ✺
02.09.23	Orihuela - Sevilla B	1:4 ✺
Club Friendly
23.08.23	Orihuela - Elche Ilicitano	1:2 ✺
18.08.23	Orihuela - Real Murcia	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLLLL

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