Match Info
Copa Federacion - 1/8-finalsDate: 16 September 2026, Wednesday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Orihuela |
|
Real Murcia |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.20 |
3.00 |
2.10 |
|
 |
3 |
3 |
2.2 |
|
 |
2.63 |
3.01 |
2.51 |
|
 |
3.33 |
3.18 |
2.12 |
 Watch |
 |
2.6 |
2.95 |
2.45 |
|
 |
2.74 |
3.34 |
2.48 |
|
 |
2.9 |
3 |
2.27 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.91 ↓
(3.95) |
3.07 ↓
(3.4) |
2.3 ↑
(1.84) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Orihuela
31.1% | Draw
29.5% | Real Murcia
39.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orihuela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Orihuela's performance.Real Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Murcia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orihuela than the current prediction. (-8.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Orihuela that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (+11.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Murcia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Orihuela - Real Murcia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
#ad
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', 1 - 0, Espinola A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 67', Meca A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 88', 1 - 1, Gimenez A. ⚽,
- Extra Time (0 - 3)
- 104', 1 - 2, Gimenez A. ⚽,
- 109', 1 - 3, Gimenez A. ⚽,
- 119', 1 - 4, Jorquera Romero J. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orihuela won 0.At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.Murcia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Murcia has had a series of away games. In this match, Murcia is the team to beat.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Orihuela won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.8:1.8).Including home matches between the teams, Orihuela won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.8:1.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Real Murcia - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 49.83%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Club Friendly | | | 09.08.25 | Orihuela - Real Murcia | 1:1 | | 18.08.23 | Orihuela - Real Murcia | 1:4 | | 16.09.20 | Orihuela - Real Murcia | 0:1 | | 07.08.19 | Orihuela - Real Murcia | 1:1 | | 28.07.18 | Orihuela - Real Murcia | 1:2 | | 24.07.13 | Orihuela - Real Murcia | 1:2 |
|
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Bet £10 and get £30 in Free Bets
