Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 27Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday
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El Palo |
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Torredonjimeno |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.98 |
3.2 |
2.18 |
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 |
2.96 |
3.41 |
2.2 |
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1.00 |
13.46 |
25.00 |
 Watch |
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3 |
3.1 |
2.15 |
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3.12 |
3.33 |
2.23 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.61 ↓
(3.25) |
5.3 ↑
(3.2) |
6.75 ↑
(2.12) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
El Palo
53.2% | Draw
26.2% | Torredonjimeno
20.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Palo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+25%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in El Palo's performance.Torredonjimeno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Torredonjimeno might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Palo than the current prediction. (-25.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with El Palo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torredonjimeno than the current prediction. (+24%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Torredonjimeno could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.El Palo - Torredonjimeno Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 30', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 45', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 75', 3 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 6).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Palo won 2.In recent matches, El Palo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).Torredonjimeno is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Recently, Torredonjimeno has had a series of home games. Torredonjimeno will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 12 head-to-head matches, El Palo won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.3:1.2).Including home matches between the teams, El Palo won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:7. (average 2:1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 11 | Torredonjimeno | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Torredonjimeno - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 43.2%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9 | | | 09.11.25 | Torredonjimeno - El Palo | 1:0 | | 09.02.25 | Torredonjimeno - El Palo | 1:0 | | 28.09.24 | El Palo - Torredonjimeno | 3:2 | | 19.03.23 | El Palo - Torredonjimeno | 2:0 | | 27.11.22 | Torredonjimeno - El Palo | 0:0 | | 20.02.22 | Torredonjimeno - El Palo | 4:2 | | 24.10.21 | El Palo - Torredonjimeno | 0:0 |
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