Match Info

Primera C - Round 19

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	El Porvenir		Club Luján

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.80	2.88	Watch
	3.02	2.60	2.65
	3.04	2.54	2.7	Watch
	2.95	2.45	2.60
	3.03	2.74	2.66
	2.90	2.55	2.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (2.3)	2.61 ↓ (2.8)	2.68 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Porvenir
31.3%

Draw
34.8%

Club Luján
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

32%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

33.3%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Porvenir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that El Porvenir's form might have worsened.

Club Luján has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Porvenir than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for El Porvenir, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club Luján than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Club Luján, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

El Porvenir - Club Luján Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Super final: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Porvenir won 0.

Recent performances by El Porvenir have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Club Luján is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, El Porvenir won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 11:24. (average 0.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, El Porvenir won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.9:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club El Porvenir
Argentinian Primera C
05.07.26	General Lamadrid - El Porvenir	1:1 ✺
27.06.26	El Porvenir - Leones de Rosario	0:0 ✺
13.06.26	El Porvenir - Atlas General Rodríguez	0:1 ✺
07.06.26	Cañuelas - El Porvenir	0:0 ✺
30.05.26	El Porvenir - Deportivo Muñiz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TTLTW
- Club Luján
Argentinian Primera C
05.07.26	Club Luján - Fénix	2:1 ✺
29.06.26	Sportivo Barracas - Club Luján	2:0 ✺
14.06.26	Club Luján - Deportivo Yupanqui	2:0 ✺
07.06.26	General Lamadrid - Club Luján	0:1 ✺
30.05.26	Club Luján - Leones de Rosario	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
14.03.26	Club Luján - El Porvenir	1:1
03.10.25	Club Luján - El Porvenir	1:0
27.09.25	El Porvenir - Club Luján	1:1
13.08.24	Club Luján - El Porvenir	0:0
23.03.24	El Porvenir - Club Luján	0:2
02.07.22	El Porvenir - Club Luján	2:3
26.02.22	Club Luján - El Porvenir	2:1

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