Match Info
Primera C - Round 28Date: 10 September 2026, ThursdayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Argentina | LPF Play |
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 |
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Mercedes |
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Deportivo Español |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.50 |
2.75 |
2.10 |
|
 |
3.55 |
2.72 |
2.1 |
|
 |
3.73 |
2.68 |
2.15 |
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 |
3.73 |
2.8 |
2.14 |
 Watch |
 |
3.65 |
2.65 |
2.09 |
|
 |
4.71 |
2.91 |
1.94 |
Watch |
 |
3.55 |
2.75 |
2.11 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.77 ↑
(2.95) |
2.75 ↓
(2.95) |
2.09 ↓
(2.28) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Mercedes
23.9% | Draw
32.8% | Deportivo Español
43.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mercedes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mercedes's form might have worsened.Deportivo Español has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mercedes than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mercedes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Español than the current prediction. (-4.7%)Mercedes - Deportivo Español Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, Cabrera R. P. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 72', 1 - 1, Amado L. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mercedes won 1.Mercedes is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).Deportivo Español is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2). Deportivo Español could have a small edge in this match.In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Mercedes won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 0.9:1).Including home matches between the teams, Mercedes won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Argentinian Primera C | | | 18.05.26 | Deportivo Español - Mercedes | 1:0 | | 22.11.25 | Deportivo Español - Mercedes | 2:1 | | 14.11.25 | Mercedes - Deportivo Español | 0:0 | | 27.07.25 | Mercedes - Deportivo Español | 3:0 | | 13.04.25 | Deportivo Español - Mercedes | 1:0 | | 07.07.24 | Deportivo Español - Mercedes | 1:0 | | 03.02.24 | Mercedes - Deportivo Español | 2:2 |
|
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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